2027 Governor
Kentucky governor race odds
As of Oct 2, 2026, prediction markets give the Republican a 81% chance of winning the 2027 Kentucky governor race (Kalshi 81%; one exchange lists this race).
Updated · prices refresh every 10 minutes
- Market rating
- Likely R
- Kalshi (D / R)
- 19.1% / 80.9%
- Polymarket (D / R)
- Not listed
- Gap between exchanges
- —
- Election Day
- Nov 2, 2027 (396 days)
Price history
Democratic odds are essentially unchanged since Oct 2, 2026.
Every candidate, by exchange
Each exchange's prices rescaled to add up to 100%. Kalshi prices are the bid–ask midpoint; Polymarket prices are its displayed price.
Kalshi open market ↗
| Outcome | Chance | Volume |
|---|---|---|
| Republican candidate | 80.9% | $26K |
| Democratic (D) | 19.1% | $11K |
Polymarket
Polymarket doesn't list this race.
Questions about this race
Who is favored to win the 2027 Kentucky governor race?
As of Oct 2, 2026, prediction markets give the Republican a 81% chance of winning the 2027 Kentucky governor race (Kalshi 81%; one exchange lists this race).
What do Kalshi and Polymarket say?
Kalshi: Democrats 19%, Republicans 81%.
How have the odds moved this week?
Democratic odds are essentially unchanged since Oct 2, 2026.
When is the 2027 election?
Election Day is Nov 2, 2027, 396 days from now.
Closest governor races in 2027
- MississippiR 87%
- LouisianaR 91%
Data
Price history (JSON)All 2027 races (JSON)All 2027 races (CSV)2027 dashboardMethodology
Cite as: Parlay the People, “2027 Kentucky governor race,” https://parlaythepeople.com/2027/governor/kentucky/, accessed Oct 2, 2026. Prediction-market prices are crowd forecasts, not certainties, and nothing here is betting or investment advice.