Parlay the People tracks what election prediction markets expect, race by race, for every U.S. federal and statewide election: the presidency, the Senate, the House, governors and statewide ballot measures.

Prices come from Kalshi and Polymarket, the two largest U.S.-facing election markets. A collector checks both exchanges every ten minutes, files every market by election year, office and place, and records the price so the history of each race can be studied later. New cycles appear on their own as the exchanges list them.

Parlay the People is independent. It is not affiliated with Kalshi, Polymarket or any campaign, and nothing here is betting or investment advice. Market prices are crowd forecasts and can be wrong.

Data partnerLunarCrushThe Pulse, our social buzz and sentiment data, is powered by LunarCrush. How it works