2028 U.S. Senate
Who will control the Senate after 2028?
As of Oct 2, 2026, prediction markets give Democrats a 55% chance of controlling the U.S. Senate after the 2028 elections (Kalshi 55%).
Updated · prices refresh every 10 minutes
- Market rating
- Toss-up
- Kalshi (D / R)
- 54.7% / 45.3%
- Polymarket (D / R)
- Not listed
- Gap between exchanges
- —
- Election Day
- Nov 7, 2028 (767 days)
Price history
Democratic odds are essentially unchanged since Oct 2, 2026.
Every candidate, by exchange
Each exchange's prices rescaled to add up to 100%. Kalshi prices are the bid–ask midpoint; Polymarket prices are its displayed price.
Kalshi open market ↗
| Outcome | Chance | Volume |
|---|---|---|
| Democratic candidate | 54.7% | $4K |
| Republican candidate | 45.3% | $2K |
Polymarket
Polymarket doesn't list this race.
Questions about this race
Who is favored to win control of the Senate in 2028?
As of Oct 2, 2026, prediction markets give Democrats a 55% chance of controlling the U.S. Senate after the 2028 elections (Kalshi 55%).
What do Kalshi and Polymarket say?
Kalshi: Democrats 55%, Republicans 45%.
How have the odds moved this week?
Democratic odds are essentially unchanged since Oct 2, 2026.
When is the 2028 election?
Election Day is Nov 7, 2028, 767 days from now.
Closest races in 2028
- House controlD 74%
Data
Price history (JSON)All 2028 races (JSON)All 2028 races (CSV)2028 dashboardMethodology
Cite as: Parlay the People, “2028 Senate control,” https://parlaythepeople.com/2028/senate/control/, accessed Oct 2, 2026. Prediction-market prices are crowd forecasts, not certainties, and nothing here is betting or investment advice.