2028 Senate
Pennsylvania Senate race odds
As of Oct 2, 2026, prediction markets give the Democrat a 66% chance of winning the 2028 Pennsylvania Senate race (Kalshi 66%; one exchange lists this race).
Updated · prices refresh every 10 minutes
- Market rating
- Lean D
- Kalshi (D / R)
- 65.9% / 23.2%
- Polymarket (D / R)
- Not listed
- Gap between exchanges
- —
- Election Day
- Nov 7, 2028 (767 days)
Price history
Democratic odds are essentially unchanged since Oct 2, 2026.
Every candidate, by exchange
Each exchange's prices rescaled to add up to 100%. Kalshi prices are the bid–ask midpoint; Polymarket prices are its displayed price.
Kalshi open market ↗
| Outcome | Chance | Volume |
|---|---|---|
| Democratic candidate | 65.9% | $3K |
| Republican candidate | 23.2% | $3K |
| John Fetterman (I) | 10.9% | $2K |
Polymarket
Polymarket doesn't list this race.
Questions about this race
Who is favored to win the 2028 Pennsylvania Senate race?
As of Oct 2, 2026, prediction markets give the Democrat a 66% chance of winning the 2028 Pennsylvania Senate race (Kalshi 66%; one exchange lists this race).
What do Kalshi and Polymarket say?
Kalshi: Democrats 66%, Republicans 23%.
How have the odds moved this week?
Democratic odds are essentially unchanged since Oct 2, 2026.
When is the 2028 election?
Election Day is Nov 7, 2028, 767 days from now.
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Data
Price history (JSON)All 2028 races (JSON)All 2028 races (CSV)2028 dashboardMethodology
Cite as: Parlay the People, “2028 Pennsylvania Senate race,” https://parlaythepeople.com/2028/senate/pennsylvania/, accessed Oct 2, 2026. Prediction-market prices are crowd forecasts, not certainties, and nothing here is betting or investment advice.