Prediction markets now price almost every U.S. election, from control of Congress down to single House districts. Parlay the People collects those prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, puts them side by side, and keeps the record.
What you can do here
See the current odds for every 2026 Senate, House and governor race, both chambers, the national House vote and state ballot measures.
Compare the two exchanges. Most races agree within a few points; where they don't, the gap is shown.
Follow the 2028 presidential race: the winner, the winning party and both parties' nominee markets.
Look back. Every race page keeps a price history, so you can see when the market moved and by how much.
How to read a price
A contract that pays $1 if a candidate wins and trades at 63 cents implies roughly a 63% chance. Parlay the People rescales each market so its outcomes add to 100%, which removes the small premium exchanges build in.
Prices are a crowd forecast, not a certainty. They react to news faster than polls do, and they can also overreact. The methodology page explains exactly how each number is computed.
Built to Last
The site isn’t built around one election. Markets are filed by year, office, and place as soon as they appear, so the 2028 and 2030 cycles can fill in on their own, while past cycles stay online as an archive.
In addition, politics is our bread—no, it’s our butter—no, it’s our bread and butter. When elections aren’t burning up the nation, we’re going to be talking politics. Why? Because this is your life, and you live in the United States of America, founded and fought for by incredible people. Being involved will make you smarter and is likely to make your future more prosperous in every way!
Remember: the government serves you, the American people! Let’s make sure we have the right people in the right places. That’s our job.
Future Development
This entity is still evolving. Its structure is closer to something Elon would suggest running on Mars.
What’s the point? We’re totally open to your ideas—and especially to any data or development you may want to showcase on the site. Just as the United States government is of the people, by the people, and for the people, so is this website!
Contact us at parlaythepeople (at) proton.me
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