2026 Colorado · U.S. House
CO-02 House race odds
As of Oct 2, 2026, prediction markets give Democrat Joe Neguse a 98% chance of winning the 2026 race for CO-02 over Republican Kelley Dennison (Kalshi 98%, Polymarket 98%).
Updated · prices refresh every 10 minutes
- Market rating
- Safe D
- Kalshi (D / R)
- 98.1% / 1.9%
- Polymarket (D / R)
- 97.8% / 2.2%
- Gap between exchanges
- 0.3 pts
- Election Day
- Nov 3, 2026 (32 days)
Price history
Democratic odds are essentially unchanged since Oct 2, 2026.
Every candidate, by exchange
Each exchange's prices rescaled to add up to 100%. Kalshi prices are the bid–ask midpoint; Polymarket prices are its displayed price.
Kalshi open market ↗
| Outcome | Chance | Volume |
|---|---|---|
| Joe Neguse (D) | 98.1% | $2K |
| Kelley Dennison (R) | 1.9% | $2K |
Polymarket open market ↗
| Outcome | Chance | Volume |
|---|---|---|
| Joe Neguse (D) | 97.8% | $19K |
| Kelley Dennison (R) | 2.2% | $22K |
Questions about this race
Who is favored to win the 2026 CO-02 House race?
As of Oct 2, 2026, prediction markets give Democrat Joe Neguse a 98% chance of winning the 2026 race for CO-02 over Republican Kelley Dennison (Kalshi 98%, Polymarket 98%).
What do Kalshi and Polymarket say?
Kalshi: Democrats 98%, Republicans 2%. Polymarket: Democrats 98%, Republicans 2%. The two exchanges differ by 0.3 points.
How have the odds moved this week?
Democratic odds are essentially unchanged since Oct 2, 2026.
When is the 2026 election?
Election Day is Nov 3, 2026, 32 days from now.
Other Colorado races in 2026
- Colorado GovernorD 98%
- CO-01 HouseD 98%
- CO-03 HouseR 74%
- CO-04 HouseR 70%
- CO-05 HouseR 72%
- CO-06 HouseD 97%
- CO-07 HouseD 96%
- CO-08 HouseD 85%
- Colorado SenateD 99%
Closest House races in 2026
Data
Price history (JSON)All 2026 races (JSON)All 2026 races (CSV)2026 dashboardMethodology
Cite as: Parlay the People, “2026 CO-02 House race,” https://parlaythepeople.com/2026/house/co-2/, accessed Oct 2, 2026. Prediction-market prices are crowd forecasts, not certainties, and nothing here is betting or investment advice.