2026 Governor
Colorado governor race odds
As of Oct 3, 2026, prediction markets give Democrat Phil Weiser a 98% chance of winning the 2026 Colorado governor race over Republican Victor Marx (Kalshi 97%, Polymarket 98%).
Updated · prices refresh every 10 minutes
- Market rating
- Safe D
- Kalshi (D / R)
- 97.0% / 3.0%
- Polymarket (D / R)
- 98.1% / 1.9%
- Gap between exchanges
- 1.2 pts
- Election Day
- Nov 3, 2026 (32 days)
Share prices
Each contract pays $1 if that outcome happens. The price is what traders are paying now, so 60¢ means roughly a 60% chance. Bid is the best offer to buy, ask the best offer to sell.
| Contract | Price | Bid | Ask | Last | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phil Weiser | 97¢ | 97¢ | 97¢ | 97¢ | 0¢ |
| Victor Marx | 3¢ | 3¢ | 4¢ | 4¢ | 0¢ |
| Contract | Price | Bid | Ask | Last | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phil Weiser | 97¢ | 96¢ | 97¢ | 97¢ | — |
| Victor Marx | 2¢ | 1¢ | 3¢ | 3¢ | ▼1¢ |
Price history
Democratic odds rose 4.3 points over the past 3 months, from 93% to 98%.
Every candidate, by exchange
Each exchange's prices rescaled to add up to 100%. Kalshi prices are the bid–ask midpoint; Polymarket prices are its displayed price.
Kalshi open market ↗
| Outcome | Chance | Volume |
|---|---|---|
| Phil Weiser (D) | 97.0% | $50K |
| Victor Marx (R) | 3.0% | $78K |
Polymarket open market ↗
| Outcome | Chance | Volume |
|---|---|---|
| Phil Weiser (D) | 98.1% | $11K |
| Victor Marx (R) | 1.9% | $6K |
Questions about this race
Who is favored to win the 2026 Colorado governor race?
As of Oct 3, 2026, prediction markets give Democrat Phil Weiser a 98% chance of winning the 2026 Colorado governor race over Republican Victor Marx (Kalshi 97%, Polymarket 98%).
What do Kalshi and Polymarket say?
Kalshi: Democrats 97%, Republicans 3%. Polymarket: Democrats 98%, Republicans 2%. The two exchanges differ by 1.2 points.
How have the odds moved this week?
Democratic odds have risen 0.7 points since Sep 26, 2026.
When is the 2026 election?
Election Day is Nov 3, 2026, 32 days from now.
Other Colorado races in 2026
- CO-01 HouseD 98%
- CO-02 HouseD 98%
- CO-03 HouseR 74%
- CO-04 HouseR 70%
- CO-05 HouseR 72%
- CO-06 HouseD 97%
- CO-07 HouseD 96%
- CO-08 HouseD 85%
- Colorado SenateD 99%
Closest governor races in 2026
Data
Price history (JSON)All 2026 races (JSON)All 2026 races (CSV)2026 dashboardMethodology
Cite as: Parlay the People, “2026 Colorado governor race,” https://parlaythepeople.com/2026/governor/colorado/, accessed Oct 3, 2026. Prediction-market prices are crowd forecasts, not certainties, and nothing here is betting or investment advice.