2026 Governor
Kansas governor race odds
As of Oct 3, 2026, prediction markets give Republican Ty Masterson a 73% chance of winning the 2026 Kansas governor race over Democrat Cindy Holscher (Kalshi 73%, Polymarket 73%).
Updated · prices refresh every 10 minutes
- Market rating
- Lean R
- Kalshi (D / R)
- 27.4% / 72.6%
- Polymarket (D / R)
- 27.2% / 72.8%
- Gap between exchanges
- 0.1 pts
- Election Day
- Nov 3, 2026 (32 days)
Price history
Democratic odds fell 1.8 points over the past 3 months, from 29% to 27%.
Every candidate, by exchange
Each exchange's prices rescaled to add up to 100%. Kalshi prices are the bid–ask midpoint; Polymarket prices are its displayed price.
Kalshi open market ↗
| Outcome | Chance | Volume |
|---|---|---|
| Ty Masterson (R) | 72.6% | $88K |
| Cindy Holscher (D) | 27.4% | $56K |
Polymarket open market ↗
| Outcome | Chance | Volume |
|---|---|---|
| Ty Masterson (R) | 72.8% | $30K |
| Cindy Holscher (D) | 27.2% | $17K |
Questions about this race
Who is favored to win the 2026 Kansas governor race?
As of Oct 3, 2026, prediction markets give Republican Ty Masterson a 73% chance of winning the 2026 Kansas governor race over Democrat Cindy Holscher (Kalshi 73%, Polymarket 73%).
What do Kalshi and Polymarket say?
Kalshi: Democrats 27%, Republicans 73%. Polymarket: Democrats 27%, Republicans 73%. The two exchanges differ by 0.1 points.
How have the odds moved this week?
Democratic odds are essentially unchanged since Sep 26, 2026.
When is the 2026 election?
Election Day is Nov 3, 2026, 32 days from now.
Other Kansas races in 2026
- KS-01 HouseR 96%
- KS-02 HouseR 87%
- KS-03 HouseD 96%
- KS-04 HouseR 94%
- Kansas SenateR 68%
Closest governor races in 2026
Data
Price history (JSON)All 2026 races (JSON)All 2026 races (CSV)2026 dashboardMethodology
Cite as: Parlay the People, “2026 Kansas governor race,” https://parlaythepeople.com/2026/governor/kansas/, accessed Oct 3, 2026. Prediction-market prices are crowd forecasts, not certainties, and nothing here is betting or investment advice.