2026 Wyoming · U.S. House
WY-AL House race odds
As of Oct 3, 2026, prediction markets give Republican Chuck Gray a 99% chance of winning the 2026 race for WY-AL over Democrat Lisa Kinney (Kalshi 99%, Polymarket 100%).
Updated · prices refresh every 10 minutes
- Market rating
- Safe R
- Kalshi (D / R)
- 1.1% / 98.9%
- Polymarket (D / R)
- 0.3% / 99.7%
- Gap between exchanges
- 0.8 pts
- Election Day
- Nov 3, 2026 (32 days)
Price history
Democratic odds fell 2.4 points over the past 3 months, from 3% to 1%.
Every candidate, by exchange
Each exchange's prices rescaled to add up to 100%. Kalshi prices are the bid–ask midpoint; Polymarket prices are its displayed price.
Kalshi open market ↗
| Outcome | Chance | Volume |
|---|---|---|
| Chuck Gray (R) | 98.9% | $1K |
| Lisa Kinney (D) | 1.1% | $6K |
Polymarket open market ↗
| Outcome | Chance | Volume |
|---|---|---|
| Chuck Gray (R) | 99.7% | $21K |
| Lisa Kinney (D) | 0.3% | $26K |
Questions about this race
Who is favored to win the 2026 WY-AL House race?
As of Oct 3, 2026, prediction markets give Republican Chuck Gray a 99% chance of winning the 2026 race for WY-AL over Democrat Lisa Kinney (Kalshi 99%, Polymarket 100%).
What do Kalshi and Polymarket say?
Kalshi: Democrats 1%, Republicans 99%. Polymarket: Democrats 0%, Republicans 100%. The two exchanges differ by 0.8 points.
How have the odds moved this week?
Democratic odds are essentially unchanged since Sep 26, 2026.
When is the 2026 election?
Election Day is Nov 3, 2026, 32 days from now.
Other Wyoming races in 2026
- Wyoming GovernorR 97%
- Wyoming SenateR 97%
Closest House races in 2026
Data
Price history (JSON)All 2026 races (JSON)All 2026 races (CSV)2026 dashboardMethodology
Cite as: Parlay the People, “2026 WY-AL House race,” https://parlaythepeople.com/2026/house/wy-al/, accessed Oct 3, 2026. Prediction-market prices are crowd forecasts, not certainties, and nothing here is betting or investment advice.