2026 Governor
Wyoming governor race odds
As of Oct 2, 2026, prediction markets give Republican Eric Barlow a 97% chance of winning the 2026 Wyoming governor race over Democrat Kenneth Casner (Kalshi 97%, Polymarket 97%).
Updated · prices refresh every 10 minutes
- Market rating
- Safe R
- Kalshi (D / R)
- 3.4% / 96.6%
- Polymarket (D / R)
- 2.7% / 97.3%
- Gap between exchanges
- 0.7 pts
- Election Day
- Nov 3, 2026 (32 days)
Price history
Democratic odds are essentially unchanged since Oct 2, 2026.
Every candidate, by exchange
Each exchange's prices rescaled to add up to 100%. Kalshi prices are the bid–ask midpoint; Polymarket prices are its displayed price.
Kalshi open market ↗
| Outcome | Chance | Volume |
|---|---|---|
| Eric Barlow (R) | 96.6% | $2K |
| Kenneth Casner (D) | 3.4% | $3K |
Polymarket open market ↗
| Outcome | Chance | Volume |
|---|---|---|
| Eric Barlow (R) | 97.3% | $9K |
| Kenneth Casner (D) | 2.7% | $2K |
Questions about this race
Who is favored to win the 2026 Wyoming governor race?
As of Oct 2, 2026, prediction markets give Republican Eric Barlow a 97% chance of winning the 2026 Wyoming governor race over Democrat Kenneth Casner (Kalshi 97%, Polymarket 97%).
What do Kalshi and Polymarket say?
Kalshi: Democrats 3%, Republicans 97%. Polymarket: Democrats 3%, Republicans 97%. The two exchanges differ by 0.7 points.
How have the odds moved this week?
Democratic odds are essentially unchanged since Oct 2, 2026.
When is the 2026 election?
Election Day is Nov 3, 2026, 32 days from now.
Other Wyoming races in 2026
- WY-AL HouseR 99%
- Wyoming SenateR 97%
Closest governor races in 2026
Data
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Cite as: Parlay the People, “2026 Wyoming governor race,” https://parlaythepeople.com/2026/governor/wyoming/, accessed Oct 2, 2026. Prediction-market prices are crowd forecasts, not certainties, and nothing here is betting or investment advice.