2026 South Carolina · U.S. House

SC-02 House race odds

As of Oct 3, 2026, prediction markets give Republican Joe Wilson a 90% chance of winning the 2026 race for SC-02 over Democrat Zyon Khalifa (Kalshi 89%, Polymarket 91%).

Updated · prices refresh every 10 minutes

Zyon Khalifa (D)10%
Joe Wilson (R) 90%
Market rating
Likely R
Kalshi (D / R)
10.8% / 89.2%
Polymarket (D / R)
9.4% / 90.6%
Gap between exchanges
1.5 pts
Election Day
Nov 3, 2026 (32 days)

Price history

Democratic odds fell 6.9 points over the past 3 months, from 17% to 10%.

0%25%50%75%100%Jul 5Aug 19Oct 3
KalshiPolymarketDemocratic odds, Jul 5 – Oct 3

Every candidate, by exchange

Each exchange's prices rescaled to add up to 100%. Kalshi prices are the bid–ask midpoint; Polymarket prices are its displayed price.

Kalshi open market ↗

OutcomeChanceVolume
Joe Wilson (R)89.2%$8K
Zyon Khalifa (D)10.8%$6K

Polymarket open market ↗

OutcomeChanceVolume
Joe Wilson (R)90.6%$21K
Zyon Khalifa (D)9.4%$25K

Questions about this race

Who is favored to win the 2026 SC-02 House race?

As of Oct 3, 2026, prediction markets give Republican Joe Wilson a 90% chance of winning the 2026 race for SC-02 over Democrat Zyon Khalifa (Kalshi 89%, Polymarket 91%).

What do Kalshi and Polymarket say?

Kalshi: Democrats 11%, Republicans 89%. Polymarket: Democrats 9%, Republicans 91%. The two exchanges differ by 1.5 points.

How have the odds moved this week?

Democratic odds have risen 2.8 points since Sep 26, 2026.

When is the 2026 election?

Election Day is Nov 3, 2026, 32 days from now.

Other South Carolina races in 2026

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Data

Price history (JSON)All 2026 races (JSON)All 2026 races (CSV)2026 dashboardMethodology

Cite as: Parlay the People, “2026 SC-02 House race,” https://parlaythepeople.com/2026/house/sc-2/, accessed Oct 3, 2026. Prediction-market prices are crowd forecasts, not certainties, and nothing here is betting or investment advice.