2026 Senate
South Carolina Senate race odds
As of Oct 3, 2026, prediction markets give Republican Darline Graham Nordone a 87% chance of winning the 2026 South Carolina Senate race over Democrat Annie Andrews (Kalshi 87%, Polymarket 88%).
Updated · prices refresh every 10 minutes
- Market rating
- Likely R
- Kalshi (D / R)
- 13.5% / 86.5%
- Polymarket (D / R)
- 11.6% / 88.4%
- Gap between exchanges
- 1.9 pts
- Election Day
- Nov 3, 2026 (32 days)
Price history
Democratic odds fell 2.1 points over the past 3 months, from 15% to 13%.
Every candidate, by exchange
Each exchange's prices rescaled to add up to 100%. Kalshi prices are the bid–ask midpoint; Polymarket prices are its displayed price.
Kalshi open market ↗
| Outcome | Chance | Volume |
|---|---|---|
| Darline Graham (R) | 86.5% | $757K |
| Annie Andrews (D) | 13.5% | $1.4M |
Polymarket open market ↗
| Outcome | Chance | Volume |
|---|---|---|
| Darline Graham Nordone (R) | 88.4% | $229K |
| Annie Andrews (D) | 11.6% | $309K |
Questions about this race
Who is favored to win the 2026 South Carolina Senate race?
As of Oct 3, 2026, prediction markets give Republican Darline Graham Nordone a 87% chance of winning the 2026 South Carolina Senate race over Democrat Annie Andrews (Kalshi 87%, Polymarket 88%).
What do Kalshi and Polymarket say?
Kalshi: Democrats 14%, Republicans 87%. Polymarket: Democrats 12%, Republicans 88%. The two exchanges differ by 1.9 points.
How have the odds moved this week?
Democratic odds have fallen 1.3 points since Sep 26, 2026.
When is the 2026 election?
Election Day is Nov 3, 2026, 32 days from now.
Other South Carolina races in 2026
- South Carolina GovernorR 95%
- SC-01 HouseR 73%
- SC-02 HouseR 90%
- SC-03 HouseR 96%
- SC-04 HouseR 98%
- SC-05 HouseR 92%
- SC-06 HouseD 97%
- SC-07 HouseR 94%
Closest Senate races in 2026
Data
Price history (JSON)All 2026 races (JSON)All 2026 races (CSV)2026 dashboardMethodology
Cite as: Parlay the People, “2026 South Carolina Senate race,” https://parlaythepeople.com/2026/senate/south-carolina/, accessed Oct 3, 2026. Prediction-market prices are crowd forecasts, not certainties, and nothing here is betting or investment advice.