2026 Senate
Nebraska Senate race odds
As of Oct 2, 2026, prediction markets give Republican Pete Ricketts a 73% chance of winning the 2026 Nebraska Senate race over Democrat Cindy Burbank (Kalshi 72%, Polymarket 74%).
Updated · prices refresh every 10 minutes
- Market rating
- Lean R
- Kalshi (D / R)
- 0.4% / 72.2%
- Polymarket (D / R)
- 0.1% / 74.3%
- Gap between exchanges
- 0.3 pts
- Election Day
- Nov 3, 2026 (32 days)
Price history
Democratic odds are essentially unchanged since Oct 2, 2026.
Every candidate, by exchange
Each exchange's prices rescaled to add up to 100%. Kalshi prices are the bid–ask midpoint; Polymarket prices are its displayed price.
Kalshi open market ↗
| Outcome | Chance | Volume |
|---|---|---|
| Pete Ricketts (R) | 72.2% | $1.2M |
| Dan Osborn (I) | 27.4% | $844K |
| Cindy Burbank (D) | 0.4% | $64K |
Polymarket open market ↗
| Outcome | Chance | Volume |
|---|---|---|
| Pete Ricketts (R) | 74.3% | $258K |
| Independent candidate | 25.6% | $126K |
| Democratic candidate | 0.1% | $105K |
Questions about this race
Who is favored to win the 2026 Nebraska Senate race?
As of Oct 2, 2026, prediction markets give Republican Pete Ricketts a 73% chance of winning the 2026 Nebraska Senate race over Democrat Cindy Burbank (Kalshi 72%, Polymarket 74%).
What do Kalshi and Polymarket say?
Kalshi: Democrats 0%, Republicans 72%. Polymarket: Democrats 0%, Republicans 74%. The two exchanges differ by 0.3 points.
How have the odds moved this week?
Democratic odds are essentially unchanged since Oct 2, 2026.
When is the 2026 election?
Election Day is Nov 3, 2026, 32 days from now.
Other Nebraska races in 2026
- Nebraska GovernorR 91%
- NE-01 HouseR 82%
- NE-02 HouseD 92%
- NE-03 HouseR 98%
Closest Senate races in 2026
Data
Price history (JSON)All 2026 races (JSON)All 2026 races (CSV)2026 dashboardMethodology
Cite as: Parlay the People, “2026 Nebraska Senate race,” https://parlaythepeople.com/2026/senate/nebraska/, accessed Oct 2, 2026. Prediction-market prices are crowd forecasts, not certainties, and nothing here is betting or investment advice.