2026 Governor
Nebraska governor race odds
As of Oct 3, 2026, prediction markets give Republican Jim Pillen a 91% chance of winning the 2026 Nebraska governor race over Democrat Lynne Walz (Kalshi 91%, Polymarket 91%).
Updated · prices refresh every 10 minutes
- Market rating
- Safe R
- Kalshi (D / R)
- 9.0% / 91.0%
- Polymarket (D / R)
- 9.5% / 90.5%
- Gap between exchanges
- 0.5 pts
- Election Day
- Nov 3, 2026 (32 days)
Price history
Democratic odds fell 6.2 points over the past 3 months, from 15% to 9%.
Every candidate, by exchange
Each exchange's prices rescaled to add up to 100%. Kalshi prices are the bid–ask midpoint; Polymarket prices are its displayed price.
Kalshi open market ↗
| Outcome | Chance | Volume |
|---|---|---|
| Jim Pillen (R) | 91.0% | $32K |
| Lynne Walz (D) | 9.0% | $26K |
Polymarket open market ↗
| Outcome | Chance | Volume |
|---|---|---|
| Jim Pillen (R) | 90.5% | $13K |
| Lynne Walz (D) | 9.5% | $7K |
Questions about this race
Who is favored to win the 2026 Nebraska governor race?
As of Oct 3, 2026, prediction markets give Republican Jim Pillen a 91% chance of winning the 2026 Nebraska governor race over Democrat Lynne Walz (Kalshi 91%, Polymarket 91%).
What do Kalshi and Polymarket say?
Kalshi: Democrats 9%, Republicans 91%. Polymarket: Democrats 10%, Republicans 91%. The two exchanges differ by 0.5 points.
How have the odds moved this week?
Democratic odds have risen 2.1 points since Sep 26, 2026.
When is the 2026 election?
Election Day is Nov 3, 2026, 32 days from now.
Other Nebraska races in 2026
- NE-01 HouseR 82%
- NE-02 HouseD 91%
- NE-03 HouseR 98%
- Nebraska SenateR 73%
Closest governor races in 2026
Data
Price history (JSON)All 2026 races (JSON)All 2026 races (CSV)2026 dashboardMethodology
Cite as: Parlay the People, “2026 Nebraska governor race,” https://parlaythepeople.com/2026/governor/nebraska/, accessed Oct 3, 2026. Prediction-market prices are crowd forecasts, not certainties, and nothing here is betting or investment advice.