2028 Governor
North Carolina governor race odds
As of Oct 3, 2026, prediction markets give the Democrat a 68% chance of winning the 2028 North Carolina governor race (Kalshi 68%; one exchange lists this race).
Updated · prices refresh every 10 minutes
- Market rating
- Lean D
- Kalshi (D / R)
- 67.7% / 32.3%
- Polymarket (D / R)
- Not listed
- Gap between exchanges
- —
- Election Day
- Nov 7, 2028 (767 days)
Share prices
Each contract pays $1 if that outcome happens. The price is what traders are paying now, so 60¢ means roughly a 60% chance. Bid is the best offer to buy, ask the best offer to sell.
| Contract | Price | Bid | Ask | Last | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | 67¢ | 64¢ | 70¢ | 70¢ | 0¢ |
| Republican | 32¢ | 31¢ | 33¢ | 32¢ | 0¢ |
Price history
Democratic odds rose 1.8 points over the past 3 months, from 66% to 68%.
Every candidate, by exchange
Each exchange's prices rescaled to add up to 100%. Kalshi prices are the bid–ask midpoint; Polymarket prices are its displayed price.
Kalshi open market ↗
| Outcome | Chance | Volume |
|---|---|---|
| Democratic (D) | 67.7% | $3K |
| Republican candidate | 32.3% | $1K |
Polymarket
Polymarket doesn't list this race.
Questions about this race
Who is favored to win the 2028 North Carolina governor race?
As of Oct 3, 2026, prediction markets give the Democrat a 68% chance of winning the 2028 North Carolina governor race (Kalshi 68%; one exchange lists this race).
What do Kalshi and Polymarket say?
Kalshi: Democrats 68%, Republicans 32%.
How have the odds moved this week?
Democratic odds are essentially unchanged since Sep 26, 2026.
When is the 2028 election?
Election Day is Nov 7, 2028, 767 days from now.
Other North Carolina races in 2028
Closest governor races in 2028
- VermontR 56%
- North DakotaR 85%
- MontanaR 86%
- UtahR 88%
- DelawareD 88%
- West VirginiaR 89%
- IndianaR 89%
- MissouriR 94%
Data
Price history (JSON)All 2028 races (JSON)All 2028 races (CSV)2028 dashboardMethodology
Cite as: Parlay the People, “2028 North Carolina governor race,” https://parlaythepeople.com/2028/governor/north-carolina/, accessed Oct 3, 2026. Prediction-market prices are crowd forecasts, not certainties, and nothing here is betting or investment advice.