2028 Governor
Vermont governor race odds
As of Oct 3, 2026, prediction markets give the Republican a 56% chance of winning the 2028 Vermont governor race (Kalshi 56%; one exchange lists this race). The race is rated a toss-up.
Updated · prices refresh every 10 minutes
- Market rating
- Toss-up
- Kalshi (D / R)
- 43.9% / 56.1%
- Polymarket (D / R)
- Not listed
- Gap between exchanges
- —
- Election Day
- Nov 7, 2028 (767 days)
Price history
Democratic odds fell 6.1 points over the past 3 months, from 50% to 44%.
Every candidate, by exchange
Each exchange's prices rescaled to add up to 100%. Kalshi prices are the bid–ask midpoint; Polymarket prices are its displayed price.
Kalshi open market ↗
| Outcome | Chance | Volume |
|---|---|---|
| Republican candidate | 56.1% | $4K |
| Democratic (D) | 43.9% | $5K |
Polymarket
Polymarket doesn't list this race.
Questions about this race
Who is favored to win the 2028 Vermont governor race?
As of Oct 3, 2026, prediction markets give the Republican a 56% chance of winning the 2028 Vermont governor race (Kalshi 56%; one exchange lists this race). The race is rated a toss-up.
What do Kalshi and Polymarket say?
Kalshi: Democrats 44%, Republicans 56%.
How have the odds moved this week?
Democratic odds are essentially unchanged since Sep 26, 2026.
When is the 2028 election?
Election Day is Nov 7, 2028, 767 days from now.
Other Vermont races in 2028
- Vermont SenateD 95%
Closest governor races in 2028
- North CarolinaD 67%
- North DakotaR 85%
- MontanaR 86%
- UtahR 88%
- DelawareD 88%
- West VirginiaR 89%
- IndianaR 89%
- MissouriR 94%
Data
Price history (JSON)All 2028 races (JSON)All 2028 races (CSV)2028 dashboardMethodology
Cite as: Parlay the People, “2028 Vermont governor race,” https://parlaythepeople.com/2028/governor/vermont/, accessed Oct 3, 2026. Prediction-market prices are crowd forecasts, not certainties, and nothing here is betting or investment advice.