2028 Governor

Utah governor race odds

As of Oct 3, 2026, prediction markets give the Republican a 88% chance of winning the 2028 Utah governor race (Kalshi 88%; one exchange lists this race).

Updated · prices refresh every 10 minutes

Democrats12%
Republicans 88%
Market rating
Likely R
Kalshi (D / R)
12.2% / 87.8%
Polymarket (D / R)
Not listed
Gap between exchanges
—
Election Day
Nov 7, 2028 (767 days)

Price history

Democratic odds rose 0.7 points over the past 3 months, from 11% to 12%.

0%25%50%75%100%Jul 5Aug 19Oct 3
KalshiPolymarketDemocratic odds, Jul 5 – Oct 3

Every candidate, by exchange

Each exchange's prices rescaled to add up to 100%. Kalshi prices are the bid–ask midpoint; Polymarket prices are its displayed price.

Kalshi open market ↗

OutcomeChanceVolume
Republican candidate87.8%$1K
Democratic candidate12.2%$2K

Polymarket

Polymarket doesn't list this race.

Questions about this race

Who is favored to win the 2028 Utah governor race?

As of Oct 3, 2026, prediction markets give the Republican a 88% chance of winning the 2028 Utah governor race (Kalshi 88%; one exchange lists this race).

What do Kalshi and Polymarket say?

Kalshi: Democrats 12%, Republicans 88%.

How have the odds moved this week?

Democratic odds have fallen 0.5 points since Sep 26, 2026.

When is the 2028 election?

Election Day is Nov 7, 2028, 767 days from now.

Other Utah races in 2028

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Data

Cite as: Parlay the People, “2028 Utah governor race,” https://parlaythepeople.com/2028/governor/utah/, accessed Oct 3, 2026. Prediction-market prices are crowd forecasts, not certainties, and nothing here is betting or investment advice.