What are Adam Gray's chances of winning the 2026 CA-13 House race?

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Adam Gray a 98% chance (Kalshi 98%, Polymarket 98%).

How much money has Adam Gray raised?

Adam Gray's campaign has raised $4.2M and has $2.1M cash on hand, through June 30, 2026, according to the FEC.

Democrat · CA

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Adam Gray (Democrat) a 98% chance of winning the 2026 CA-13 House race (Kalshi 98%, Polymarket 98%).

Market	Chance	Kalshi	Polymarket	24h
2026 CA-13 House race	98%	98%	98%	▼ 1¢

Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.

Through June 30, 2026. $2.4M from individuals, $1.3M from PACs. FEC filings for Adam C. Gray →

Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.