Election night

2026 results by the markets

Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026. Until then, this page shows what the prediction markets expect: Democrats are 92% favorites to control the House and Democrats are 65% favorites to control the Senate. On election night, races move to "called" as the markets settle on a winner.

Updated Oct 5, 2026, 2:04 AM EDT. Markets call races before official counts finish; official results come from each state's election office.

House control

Democrats 92%

Races up this year: D 0 won/called + 230 favored · R 0 won/called + 199 favored · 5 toss-ups

Odds history →

Senate control

Democrats 65%

Races up this year: D 0 won/called + 17 favored · R 0 won/called + 16 favored · 2 toss-ups

Odds history →

Senate 35 races

IowaAshley Hinson 57%Toss-up
MaineTroy Jackson 57%Toss-up
OhioSherrod Brown 63%Lean
TexasJames Talarico 64%Lean
KansasRoger Marshall 67%Lean
MichiganAbdul El-Sayed 72%Lean
NebraskaPete Ricketts 72%Lean
AlaskaMary Peltola 73%Lean
South CarolinaDarline Graham Nordone 86%Likely
MinnesotaPeggy Flanagan 86%Likely
New HampshireChris Pappas 87%Likely
FloridaAshley Moody 90%Likely
MississippiCindy Hyde-Smith 91%Likely
MontanaKurt Alme 92%Likely
TennesseeBill Hagerty 93%Likely
ArkansasTom Cotton 93%Likely
South DakotaMike Rounds 93%Likely
IdahoJim Risch 94%Likely
LouisianaJulia Letlow 94%Likely
North CarolinaRoy Cooper 96%Likely
GeorgiaJon Ossoff 96%Likely
KentuckyAndy Barr 97%Likely
WyomingHarriet Hageman 97%Likely
AlabamaBarry Moore 98%Likely
OregonJeff Merkley 98%Likely
OklahomaKevin Hern 98%Likely
West VirginiaShelley Moore Capito 98%Likely
VirginiaMark Warner 98%Likely
New MexicoBen Ray Luján 98%Likely
IllinoisJuliana Stratton 98%Likely
MassachusettsEd Markey 98%Likely
New JerseyCory Booker 99%Likely
ColoradoJohn Hickenlooper 99%Likely
DelawareDemocrat 99%Likely
Rhode IslandJack Reed 99%Likely

Governor 36 races

NevadaJoe Lombardo 51%Toss-up
GeorgiaRick Jackson 54%Toss-up
OhioAmy Acton 67%Lean
TexasGreg Abbott 74%Lean
KansasTy Masterson 74%Lean
OregonTina Kotek 75%Likely
FloridaByron Donalds 76%Likely
AlaskaJonathan Kreiss-Tomkins 77%Likely
VermontPhil Scott 77%Likely
WisconsinDavid Crowley 81%Likely
IowaRob Sand 86%Likely
ArizonaKatie Hobbs 90%Likely
NebraskaJim Pillen 90%Likely
OklahomaMike Mazzei 92%Likely
AlabamaTommy Tuberville 93%Likely
MichiganJocelyn Benson 94%Likely
MaineHannah Pingree 94%Likely
New HampshireKelly Ayotte 95%Likely
South CarolinaAlan Wilson 95%Likely
New MexicoDeb Haaland 95%Likely
MinnesotaAmy Klobuchar 95%Likely
TennesseeMarsha Blackburn 95%Likely
New YorkKathy Hochul 95%Likely
CaliforniaXavier Becerra 96%Likely
MassachusettsMaura Healey 96%Likely
Rhode IslandHelena Foulkes 97%Likely
ArkansasSarah Huckabee Sanders 97%Likely
ConnecticutNed Lamont 97%Likely
South DakotaLarry Rhoden 97%Likely
WyomingEric Barlow 97%Likely
IllinoisJB Pritzker 97%Likely
ColoradoPhil Weiser 97%Likely
PennsylvaniaJosh Shapiro 98%Likely
MarylandWes Moore 98%Likely
IdahoBrad Little 98%Likely
HawaiiJosh Green 98%Likely

House 434 races

VA-01Rob Wittman 51%Toss-up
MI-04Bill Huizenga 52%Toss-up
FL-22Pia Dandiya 54%Toss-up
IA-02Lindsay James 54%Toss-up
MI-07William Lawrence 59%Toss-up
TX-35Johnny Garcia 61%Lean
FL-27María Elvira Salazar 62%Lean
TX-23Brandon Herrera 62%Lean
NC-01Don Davis 62%Lean
NY-17Cait Conley 64%Lean
WI-01Bryan Steil 64%Lean
PA-01Brian Fitzpatrick 65%Lean
MT-01Aaron Flint 65%Lean
ME-02Paul LePage 65%Lean
FL-14Kathy Castor 65%Lean
MI-10Christina Hines 66%Lean
FL-07Ryan Elijah 67%Lean
AZ-02Eli Crane 69%Lean
PA-08Paige Cognetti 70%Lean
CO-04Lauren Boebert 70%Lean
OH-09Marcy Kaptur 70%Lean
SC-01Jenny Costa Honeycutt 70%Lean
NC-11Jamie Ager 71%Lean
FL-09Dan Green 71%Lean
CO-03Jeff Hurd 72%Lean
KY-06Ralph Alvarado 73%Lean
WI-03Rebecca Cooke 73%Lean
FL-13Anna Paulina Luna 74%Lean
MO-02Ann Wagner 74%Lean
OH-15Mike Carey 74%Lean
CO-05Jeff Crank 74%Lean
AL-02Rhett Marques 75%Lean
FL-25Jared Moskowitz 75%Lean
MN-01Brad Finstad 77%Likely
IA-03Sarah Trone Garriott 77%Likely
NV-02David Flippo 78%Likely
NC-09Richard Hudson 78%Likely
VA-05John McGuire 79%Likely
NJ-02Jeff Van Drew 79%Likely
PA-10Janelle Stelson 80%Likely
AZ-01Amish Shah 80%Likely
OH-07Brian Poindexter 81%Likely
TX-15Bobby Pulido 81%Likely
NY-01Nick LaLota 81%Likely
VA-02Elaine Luria 82%Likely
NY-21Anthony Constantino 82%Likely
WA-05Michael Baumgartner 82%Likely
NC-07David Rouzer 83%Likely
AZ-06JoAnna Mendoza 83%Likely
NE-01Mike Flood 83%Likely
TX-34Vicente Gonzalez 83%Likely
IA-01Christina Bohannan 84%Likely
FL-16Sydney Gruters 84%Likely
TX-09Alex Mealer 84%Likely
AR-02French Hill 84%Likely
AZ-08Abraham Hamadeh 84%Likely
NC-13Brad Knott 85%Likely
IN-05Victoria Spartz 85%Likely
AK-ALRepublican 85%Likely
OH-10Mike Turner 85%Likely
FL-04Aaron Bean 86%Likely
TN-09Brent Taylor 86%Likely
NC-03Greg Murphy 86%Likely
PA-07Bob Brooks 86%Likely
CO-08Manny Rutinel 86%Likely
NY-02Andrew Garbarino 86%Likely
OH-01Greg Landsman 87%Likely
NC-05Virginia Foxx 87%Likely
FL-12Gus Bilirakis 87%Likely
FL-26Mario Díaz-Balart 87%Likely
MN-08Pete Stauber 87%Likely
NY-03Tom Suozzi 87%Likely
KS-02Derek Schmidt 88%Likely
OK-05Stephanie Bice 88%Likely
NC-14Tim Moore 88%Likely
FL-11Joe Strada 88%Likely
WI-08Tony Wied 88%Likely
TX-28Henry Cuellar 89%Likely
SC-02Joe Wilson 89%Likely
TX-32Jace Yarbrough 89%Likely
MD-01Andy Harris 90%Likely
NY-04Laura Gillen 90%Likely
NJ-07Rebecca Bennett 90%Likely
WA-03Marie Gluesenkamp Perez 90%Likely
GA-01Jim Kingston 90%Likely
FL-21Brian Mast 90%Likely
MI-01Jack Bergman 91%Likely
OH-08Warren Davidson 91%Likely
CA-48Marni von Wilpert 91%Likely
TX-24Beth Van Duyne 91%Likely
AZ-05Mark Lamb 91%Likely
NC-06Addison McDowell 91%Likely
FL-02Austin Rogers 92%Likely
GA-12Rick Allen 92%Likely
TX-22Trever Nehls 92%Likely
FL-15Laurel Lee 92%Likely
VA-06Ben Cline 92%Likely
TN-05Charlie Hatcher 92%Likely
SC-05Wes Climer 92%Likely
FL-18Scott Franklin 92%Likely
NE-02Denise Powell 92%Likely
FL-05John Rutherford 92%Likely
CA-22Randy Villegas 92%Likely
CA-05Tom McClintock 92%Likely
TX-02Steve Toth 92%Likely
MI-05Tim Walberg 93%Likely
TX-10Chris Gober 93%Likely
GA-07Rich McCormick 93%Likely
LA-06Republican 93%Likely
WA-04Amanda McKinney 93%Likely
CA-45Derek Tran 93%Likely
TX-38Jon Bonck 93%Likely
PA-16Mike Kelly 93%Likely
FL-06Randy Fine 94%Likely
NV-03Susie Lee 94%Likely
TX-17Pete Sessions 94%Likely
CA-06Richard Pan 94%Likely
WI-06Glenn Grothman 94%Likely
FL-08Mike Haridopolos 94%Likely
IL-08Melissa Bean 94%Likely
TX-27Michael Cloud 94%Likely
TX-21Mark Teixeira 94%Likely
MI-08Kristen McDonald Rivet 94%Likely
MN-06Tom Emmer 94%Likely
NM-02Gabe Vasquez 94%Likely
IN-09Erin Houchin 94%Likely
GA-02Sanford Bishop 94%Likely
CA-01Mike McGuire 94%Likely
TX-31John Carter 94%Likely
WI-07Michael Alfonso 94%Likely
TX-36Brian Babin 94%Likely
IN-04Jim Baird 94%Likely
SC-07Russell Fry 94%Likely
OR-04Val Hoyle 94%Likely
FL-03Kat Cammack 94%Likely
FL-28Carlos Giménez 94%Likely
FL-19Jim Schwartzel 94%Likely
GA-08Austin Scott 94%Likely
NC-10Pat Harrigan 94%Likely
LA-05Republican 94%Likely
OH-12Troy Balderson 94%Likely
IN-03Marlin Stutzman 94%Likely
NH-02Maggie Goodlander 95%Likely
AL-05Dale Strong 95%Likely
IN-06Jefferson Shreve 95%Likely
MO-04Mark Alford 95%Likely
OH-05Bob Latta 95%Likely
PA-11Lloyd Smucker 95%Likely
TX-12Craig Goldman 95%Likely
UT-04Mike Kennedy 95%Likely
CT-03Rosa DeLauro 95%Likely
MN-07Michelle Fischbach 95%Likely
GA-10Houston Gaines 95%Likely
LA-04Republican 95%Likely
NY-23Nick Langworthy 95%Likely
MN-02Matt Little 95%Likely
OH-06Michael Rulli 95%Likely
OR-02Cliff Bentz 95%Likely
MT-02Troy Downing 95%Likely
CA-23Jay Obernolte 95%Likely
KS-04Ron Estes 95%Likely
NY-18Pat Ryan 95%Likely
TN-06Johnny Garrett 95%Likely
NY-11Nicole Malliotakis 95%Likely
FL-17Greg Steube 95%Likely
TX-03Keith Self 95%Likely
IL-04Patty Garcia 95%Likely
NY-22John Mannion 95%Likely
TX-04Pat Fallon 95%Likely
CA-33Pete Aguilar 95%Likely
CA-26Jacqui Irwin 95%Likely
IL-16Darin LaHood 95%Likely
OK-01Mark Tedford 95%Likely
IL-15Mary Miller 95%Likely
MO-03Bob Onder 95%Likely
NY-24Claudia Tenney 95%Likely
CA-47Dave Min 95%Likely
IA-04Chris McGowan 95%Likely
MO-06Chris Stigall 95%Likely
KS-01Tracey Mann 95%Likely
TX-25Roger Williams 96%Likely
GA-03Brian Jack 96%Likely
SD-ALMarty Jackley 96%Likely
CO-07Brittany Pettersen 96%Likely
TN-02Tim Burchett 96%Likely
CA-25Raul Ruiz 96%Likely
GA-09Andrew Clyde 96%Likely
IL-01Jonathan Jackson 96%Likely
UT-02Blake Moore 96%Likely
VA-07Eugene Vindman 96%Likely
OH-14David Joyce 96%Likely
ID-02Mike Simpson 96%Likely
TN-03Chuck Fleischmann 96%Likely
TN-08David Kustoff 96%Likely
CA-46Lou Correa 96%Likely
NV-01Dina Titus 96%Likely
AZ-09Paul Gosar 96%Likely
NJ-01Donald Norcross 96%Likely
TX-11August Pfluger 96%Likely
HI-02Jill Tokuda 96%Likely
AL-01Jerry Carl 96%Likely
MA-02Jim McGovern 96%Likely
IL-13Nikki Budzinski 96%Likely
FL-23Lois Frankel 96%Likely
TX-13Ronny Jackson 96%Likely
KS-03Sharice Davids 96%Likely
ID-01Russ Fulcher 96%Likely
CA-21Jim Costa 96%Likely
PA-15Glenn Thompson 96%Likely
NH-01Stefany Shaheen 96%Likely
MI-09Lisa McClain 96%Likely
NJ-11Analilia Mejia 96%Likely
WI-05Scott Fitzgerald 96%Likely
MS-01Trent Kelly 96%Likely
CT-05Jahana Hayes 96%Likely
CA-10Mark DeSaulnier 96%Likely
UT-01Ben McAdams 96%Likely
MO-05Emanuel Cleaver 96%Likely
WV-02Riley Moore 96%Likely
IN-08Mark Messmer 96%Likely
PA-14Guy Reschenthaler 96%Likely
KY-02Brett Guthrie 96%Likely
NJ-04Chris Smith 96%Likely
OR-03Maxine Dexter 96%Likely
VA-10Suhas Subramanyam 96%Likely
MA-03Lori Trahan 96%Likely
UT-03Celeste Maloy 96%Likely
CA-41Linda Sánchez 96%Likely
CA-30Laura Friedman 96%Likely
PA-13John Joyce 96%Likely
CA-31Gil Cisneros 96%Likely
TX-08Jessica Hart Steinmann 96%Likely
CA-29Democrat 96%Likely
NC-04Valerie Foushee 96%Likely
TX-14Randy Weber 96%Likely
TX-18Christian Menefee 96%Likely
CA-39Mark Takano 96%Likely
NC-08Mark Harris 96%Likely
MD-03Sarah Elfreth 96%Likely
KY-01James Comer 96%Likely
OH-04Jim Jordan 96%Likely
LA-03Republican 96%Likely
MN-04Betty McCollum 96%Likely
TX-20Joaquin Castro 96%Likely
SC-03Sheri Biggs 96%Likely
GA-11John Cowan 97%Likely
CA-03Ami Bera 97%Likely
CA-50Scott Peters 97%Likely
NY-20Paul Tonko 97%Likely
NY-16George Latimer 97%Likely
AR-03Steve Womack 97%Likely
KY-04Ed Gallrein 97%Likely
MO-07Eric Burlison 97%Likely
MD-02Johnny Olszewski 97%Likely
MA-01Richard Neal 97%Likely
CA-52Juan Vargas 97%Likely
GA-14Clay Fuller 97%Likely
FL-01Jimmy Patronis 97%Likely
NJ-06Frank Pallone 97%Likely
MS-04Mike Ezell 97%Likely
PA-17Chris Deluzio 97%Likely
IL-12Mike Bost 97%Likely
MN-03Kelly Morrison 97%Likely
NY-14Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 97%Likely
NY-26Tim Kennedy 97%Likely
CA-49Mike Levin 97%Likely
MA-06Dan Koh 97%Likely
CA-37Democrat 97%Likely
NJ-08Rob Menendez 97%Likely
GA-06Lucy McBath 97%Likely
CA-04Democrat 97%Likely
FL-10Maxwell Frost 97%Likely
NJ-09Nellie Pou 97%Likely
CA-27George Whitesides 97%Likely
CO-06Jason Crow 97%Likely
HI-01Ed Case 97%Likely
CA-08John Garamendi 97%Likely
TN-07Matt Van Epps 97%Likely
MI-03Hillary Scholten 97%Likely
WA-10Marilyn Strickland 97%Likely
KY-03Morgan McGarvey 97%Likely
PA-06Chrissy Houlahan 97%Likely
NV-04Steven Horsford 97%Likely
LA-01Republican 97%Likely
IL-02Donna Miller 97%Likely
GA-13Jasmine Clark 97%Likely
CA-09Josh Harder 97%Likely
SC-06Jim Clyburn 97%Likely
TN-01Diana Harshbarger 97%Likely
MD-07Kweisi Mfume 97%Likely
MS-02Bennie Thompson 97%Likely
CA-36Ted Lieu 97%Likely
CA-32Brad Sherman 97%Likely
NJ-12Adam Hamawy 97%Likely
WA-02Rick Larsen 97%Likely
MI-11Jeremy Moss 97%Likely
CA-42Robert Garcia 97%Likely
AR-04Bruce Westerman 97%Likely
WA-09Adam Smith 97%Likely
AL-06Gary Palmer 97%Likely
ME-01Chellie Pingree 97%Likely
IN-02Rudy Yakym 97%Likely
NJ-03Herb Conaway 97%Likely
IL-03Delia Ramirez 97%Likely
KY-05Hal Rogers 97%Likely
TX-26Brandon Gill 97%Likely
IL-09Daniel Biss 97%Likely
CT-01Luke Bronin 97%Likely
PA-09Dan Meuser 97%Likely
VA-09Morgan Griffith 97%Likely
MD-06April McClain Delaney 97%Likely
NM-03Teresa Leger Fernández 97%Likely
NY-25Joseph Morelle 97%Likely
CA-43Maxine Waters 97%Likely
NJ-05Josh Gottheimer 97%Likely
MD-05Adrian Boafo 97%Likely
IL-06Sean Casten 97%Likely
CA-51Sara Jacobs 97%Likely
TX-07Lizzie Fletcher 97%Likely
IL-14Lauren Underwood 97%Likely
IL-05Mike Quigley 97%Likely
VA-03Bobby Scott 97%Likely
VA-04Jennifer McClellan 98%Likely
RI-02Seth Magaziner 98%Likely
IL-11Bill Foster 98%Likely
IL-10Brad Schneider 98%Likely
SC-04William Timmons 98%Likely
PA-04Madeleine Dean 98%Likely
PA-12Summer Lee 98%Likely
MD-08Jamie Raskin 98%Likely
TX-01Nathaniel Moran 98%Likely
CA-28Judy Chu 98%Likely
NY-13Darializa Avila Chevalier 98%Likely
OR-06Andrea Salinas 98%Likely
OK-04Tom Cole 98%Likely
WV-01Carol Miller 98%Likely
FL-20Debbie Wasserman Schultz 98%Likely
MO-08Jason Smith 98%Likely
IL-17Eric Sorensen 98%Likely
CA-16Sam Liccardo 98%Likely
OR-01Suzanne Bonamici 98%Likely
NC-12Alma Adams 98%Likely
CA-07Democrat 98%Likely
CA-24Salud Carbajal 98%Likely
ND-ALJulie Fedorchak 98%Likely
NY-09Yvette Clarke 98%Likely
CA-17Ro Khanna 98%Likely
FL-24Oliver Gilbert 98%Likely
CA-44Nanette Barragán 98%Likely
AR-01Rick Crawford 98%Likely
CA-20Vince Fong 98%Likely
CT-04Jim Himes 98%Likely
TX-30Frederick Haynes III 98%Likely
AZ-04Greg Stanton 98%Likely
CA-18Zoe Lofgren 98%Likely
CO-02Joe Neguse 98%Likely
PA-02Brendan Boyle 98%Likely
MA-05Katherine Clark 98%Likely
NY-08Hakeem Jeffries 98%Likely
OH-03Joyce Beatty 98%Likely
OK-02Josh Brecheen 98%Likely
CA-19Jimmy Panetta 98%Likely
RI-01Gabe Amo 98%Likely
TX-33Colin Allred 98%Likely
CA-13Adam Gray 98%Likely
GA-04Hank Johnson 98%Likely
MA-07Ayanna Pressley 98%Likely
OH-11Shontel Brown 98%Likely
WA-01Suzan DelBene 98%Likely
MN-05Ilhan Omar 98%Likely
TN-04Scott DesJarlais 98%Likely
TX-16Veronica Escobar 98%Likely
PA-05Mary Gay Scanlon 98%Likely
MA-08Stephen Lynch 98%Likely
MI-06Debbie Dingell 98%Likely
TX-05Lance Gooden 98%Likely
NE-03Adrian Smith 98%Likely
OH-02David Taylor 98%Likely
CA-15Kevin Mullin 98%Likely
NY-07Claire Valdez 98%Likely
MO-01Wesley Bell 98%Likely
VA-08Don Beyer 98%Likely
IN-07André Carson 98%Likely
CO-01Melat Kiros 98%Likely
MA-04Jake Auchincloss 98%Likely
PA-03Chris Rabb 98%Likely
AZ-07Adelita Grijalva 98%Likely
CA-02Jared Huffman 98%Likely
TX-37Greg Casar 98%Likely
IN-01Frank Mrvan 98%Likely
CT-02Joe Courtney 98%Likely
WA-07Pramila Jayapal 98%Likely
TX-29Sylvia Garcia 98%Likely
OR-05Janelle Bynum 98%Likely
MS-03Michael Guest 99%Likely
NY-05Gregory Meeks 99%Likely
WA-06Emily Randall 99%Likely
MI-02John Moolenaar 99%Likely
NY-15Ritchie Torres 99%Likely
NY-19Josh Riley 99%Likely
AL-07Terri Sewell 99%Likely
NM-01Melanie Stansbury 99%Likely
CA-38Hilda Solis 99%Likely
WA-08Kim Schrier 99%Likely
NC-02Deborah Ross 99%Likely
VT-ALBecca Balint 99%Likely
OH-13Emilia Sykes 99%Likely
NY-12Micah Lasher 99%Likely
TX-19Tom Sell 99%Likely
MD-04Glenn Ivey 99%Likely
CA-12Democrat 99%Likely
AL-04Robert Aderholt 99%Likely
WY-ALChuck Gray 99%Likely
LA-02Democrat 99%Likely
WI-04Gwen Moore 99%Likely
NY-06Grace Meng 99%Likely
NJ-10LaMonica McIver 99%Likely
IL-07La Shawn Ford 99%Likely
AZ-03Yassamin Ansari 99%Likely
GA-05Nikema Williams 99%Likely
CA-35Norma Torres 99%Likely
OK-03Frank Lucas 99%Likely
NY-10Brad Lander 99%Likely
AL-03Mike Rogers 99%Likely
MI-12Rashida Tlaib 99%Likely
MA-09Bill Keating 99%Likely
VA-11James Walkinshaw 99%Likely
TX-06Jake Ellzey 99%Likely
MI-13Donavan McKinney 99%Likely
DE-ALDemocrat 99%Likely
WI-02Mark Pocan 100%Likely
CA-14Democrat 100%Likely
CA-34Democrat 100%Likely
CA-11Democrat 100%Likely

Market calls are a forecast, not a count. Find each state's official results through its state page. Research, not betting advice.