2026 Governor
Idaho governor race odds
As of Oct 2, 2026, prediction markets give Republican Brad Little a 97% chance of winning the 2026 Idaho governor race over Democrat Terri Pickens (Kalshi 97%, Polymarket 98%).
Updated · prices refresh every 10 minutes
- Market rating
- Safe R
- Kalshi (D / R)
- 2.8% / 97.2%
- Polymarket (D / R)
- 2.2% / 97.8%
- Gap between exchanges
- 0.6 pts
- Election Day
- Nov 3, 2026 (32 days)
Price history
Democratic odds are essentially unchanged since Oct 2, 2026.
Every candidate, by exchange
Each exchange's prices rescaled to add up to 100%. Kalshi prices are the bid–ask midpoint; Polymarket prices are its displayed price.
Kalshi open market ↗
| Outcome | Chance | Volume |
|---|---|---|
| Brad Little (R) | 97.2% | $5K |
| Terri Pickens (D) | 2.8% | $2K |
Polymarket open market ↗
| Outcome | Chance | Volume |
|---|---|---|
| Brad Little (R) | 97.8% | $22K |
| Terri Pickens (D) | 2.2% | $4K |
Questions about this race
Who is favored to win the 2026 Idaho governor race?
As of Oct 2, 2026, prediction markets give Republican Brad Little a 97% chance of winning the 2026 Idaho governor race over Democrat Terri Pickens (Kalshi 97%, Polymarket 98%).
What do Kalshi and Polymarket say?
Kalshi: Democrats 3%, Republicans 97%. Polymarket: Democrats 2%, Republicans 98%. The two exchanges differ by 0.6 points.
How have the odds moved this week?
Democratic odds are essentially unchanged since Oct 2, 2026.
When is the 2026 election?
Election Day is Nov 3, 2026, 32 days from now.
Other Idaho races in 2026
- ID-01 HouseR 96%
- ID-02 HouseR 96%
- Idaho SenateR 93%
Closest governor races in 2026
Data
Price history (JSON)All 2026 races (JSON)All 2026 races (CSV)2026 dashboardMethodology
Cite as: Parlay the People, “2026 Idaho governor race,” https://parlaythepeople.com/2026/governor/idaho/, accessed Oct 2, 2026. Prediction-market prices are crowd forecasts, not certainties, and nothing here is betting or investment advice.