2026 Governor
Rhode Island governor race odds
As of Oct 3, 2026, prediction markets give Democrat Helena Foulkes a 96% chance of winning the 2026 Rhode Island governor race (Kalshi 95%, Polymarket 97%).
Updated · prices refresh every 10 minutes
- Market rating
- Safe D
- Kalshi (D / R)
- 95.1% / 2.5%
- Polymarket (D / R)
- 97.3% / 1.8%
- Gap between exchanges
- 2.3 pts
- Election Day
- Nov 3, 2026 (32 days)
Share prices
Each contract pays $1 if that outcome happens. The price is what traders are paying now, so 60¢ means roughly a 60% chance. Bid is the best offer to buy, ask the best offer to sell.
| Contract | Price | Bid | Ask | Last | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Helena Foulkes | 96¢ | 95¢ | 97¢ | 94¢ | ▲2¢ |
| Republican | 3¢ | 1¢ | 4¢ | 6¢ | 0¢ |
| Ken Block | 3¢ | 1¢ | 4¢ | 3¢ | ▼2¢ |
| Contract | Price | Bid | Ask | Last | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Helena Foulkes | 97¢ | 96¢ | 98¢ | 96¢ | 0¢ |
| Republican | 2¢ | 1¢ | 3¢ | 3¢ | 0¢ |
| Independent | 1¢ | 0¢ | 2¢ | 1¢ | 0¢ |
Price history
Democratic odds rose 4.7 points over the past 3 months, from 91% to 96%.
Every candidate, by exchange
Each exchange's prices rescaled to add up to 100%. Kalshi prices are the bid–ask midpoint; Polymarket prices are its displayed price.
Kalshi open market ↗
| Outcome | Chance | Volume |
|---|---|---|
| Helena Foulkes (D) | 95.1% | $12K |
| Republican candidate | 2.5% | $5K |
| Ken Block (I) | 2.5% | $4K |
Polymarket open market ↗
| Outcome | Chance | Volume |
|---|---|---|
| Helena Foulkes (D) | 97.3% | $57K |
| Republican candidate | 1.8% | $11K |
| Independent candidate | 0.9% | $2K |
Questions about this race
Who is favored to win the 2026 Rhode Island governor race?
As of Oct 3, 2026, prediction markets give Democrat Helena Foulkes a 96% chance of winning the 2026 Rhode Island governor race (Kalshi 95%, Polymarket 97%).
What do Kalshi and Polymarket say?
Kalshi: Democrats 95%, Republicans 2%. Polymarket: Democrats 97%, Republicans 2%. The two exchanges differ by 2.3 points.
How have the odds moved this week?
Democratic odds have risen 0.7 points since Sep 26, 2026.
When is the 2026 election?
Election Day is Nov 3, 2026, 32 days from now.
Other Rhode Island races in 2026
- RI-01 HouseD 98%
- RI-02 HouseD 98%
- Rhode Island SenateD 99%
Closest governor races in 2026
Data
Price history (JSON)All 2026 races (JSON)All 2026 races (CSV)2026 dashboardMethodology
Cite as: Parlay the People, “2026 Rhode Island governor race,” https://parlaythepeople.com/2026/governor/rhode-island/, accessed Oct 3, 2026. Prediction-market prices are crowd forecasts, not certainties, and nothing here is betting or investment advice.