2026 Georgia · U.S. House
GA-10 House race odds
As of Oct 3, 2026, prediction markets give Republican Houston Gaines a 94% chance of winning the 2026 race for GA-10 over Democrat Pam Delancy (Kalshi 94%, Polymarket 95%).
Updated · prices refresh every 10 minutes
- Market rating
- Safe R
- Kalshi (D / R)
- 6.2% / 93.8%
- Polymarket (D / R)
- 5.0% / 95.0%
- Gap between exchanges
- 1.2 pts
- Election Day
- Nov 3, 2026 (32 days)
Price history
Democratic odds fell 4.0 points over the past 3 months, from 10% to 6%.
Every candidate, by exchange
Each exchange's prices rescaled to add up to 100%. Kalshi prices are the bid–ask midpoint; Polymarket prices are its displayed price.
Kalshi open market ↗
| Outcome | Chance | Volume |
|---|---|---|
| Houston Gaines (R) | 93.8% | $1K |
| Pamela DeLancy (D) | 6.2% | $2K |
Polymarket open market ↗
| Outcome | Chance | Volume |
|---|---|---|
| Houston Gaines (R) | 95.0% | $11K |
| Pam Delancy (D) | 5.0% | $13K |
Questions about this race
Who is favored to win the 2026 GA-10 House race?
As of Oct 3, 2026, prediction markets give Republican Houston Gaines a 94% chance of winning the 2026 race for GA-10 over Democrat Pam Delancy (Kalshi 94%, Polymarket 95%).
What do Kalshi and Polymarket say?
Kalshi: Democrats 6%, Republicans 94%. Polymarket: Democrats 5%, Republicans 95%. The two exchanges differ by 1.2 points.
How have the odds moved this week?
Democratic odds have risen 2.4 points since Sep 26, 2026.
When is the 2026 election?
Election Day is Nov 3, 2026, 32 days from now.
Other Georgia races in 2026
- Georgia GovernorR 52%
- GA-01 HouseR 92%
- GA-11 HouseR 95%
- GA-12 HouseR 92%
- GA-13 HouseD 97%
- GA-14 HouseR 96%
- GA-02 HouseD 94%
- GA-03 HouseR 96%
- GA-04 HouseD 98%
- GA-05 HouseD 99%
- GA-06 HouseD 97%
- GA-07 HouseR 94%
- GA-08 HouseR 95%
- GA-09 HouseR 95%
- Georgia SenateD 96%
Closest House races in 2026
Data
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Cite as: Parlay the People, “2026 GA-10 House race,” https://parlaythepeople.com/2026/house/ga-10/, accessed Oct 3, 2026. Prediction-market prices are crowd forecasts, not certainties, and nothing here is betting or investment advice.