2026 Senate
Georgia Senate race odds
As of Oct 2, 2026, prediction markets give Democrat Jon Ossoff a 97% chance of winning the 2026 Georgia Senate race over Republican Mike Collins (Kalshi 96%, Polymarket 97%).
Updated · prices refresh every 10 minutes
- Market rating
- Safe D
- Kalshi (D / R)
- 95.9% / 4.1%
- Polymarket (D / R)
- 97.3% / 2.7%
- Gap between exchanges
- 1.5 pts
- Election Day
- Nov 3, 2026 (32 days)
Price history
Democratic odds are essentially unchanged since Oct 2, 2026.
Every candidate, by exchange
Each exchange's prices rescaled to add up to 100%. Kalshi prices are the bid–ask midpoint; Polymarket prices are its displayed price.
Kalshi open market ↗
| Outcome | Chance | Volume |
|---|---|---|
| Jon Ossoff (D) | 95.9% | $447K |
| Mike Collins (R) | 4.1% | $1.0M |
Polymarket open market ↗
| Outcome | Chance | Volume |
|---|---|---|
| Jon Ossoff (D) | 97.3% | $89K |
| Mike Collins (R) | 2.7% | $116K |
Questions about this race
Who is favored to win the 2026 Georgia Senate race?
As of Oct 2, 2026, prediction markets give Democrat Jon Ossoff a 97% chance of winning the 2026 Georgia Senate race over Republican Mike Collins (Kalshi 96%, Polymarket 97%).
What do Kalshi and Polymarket say?
Kalshi: Democrats 96%, Republicans 4%. Polymarket: Democrats 97%, Republicans 3%. The two exchanges differ by 1.5 points.
How have the odds moved this week?
Democratic odds are essentially unchanged since Oct 2, 2026.
When is the 2026 election?
Election Day is Nov 3, 2026, 32 days from now.
Other Georgia races in 2026
- Georgia GovernorR 52%
- GA-01 HouseR 92%
- GA-10 HouseR 94%
- GA-11 HouseR 95%
- GA-12 HouseR 93%
- GA-13 HouseD 97%
- GA-14 HouseR 96%
- GA-02 HouseD 94%
- GA-03 HouseR 96%
- GA-04 HouseD 98%
- GA-05 HouseD 99%
- GA-06 HouseD 97%
- GA-07 HouseR 94%
- GA-08 HouseR 95%
- GA-09 HouseR 95%
Closest Senate races in 2026
Data
Price history (JSON)All 2026 races (JSON)All 2026 races (CSV)2026 dashboardMethodology
Cite as: Parlay the People, “2026 Georgia Senate race,” https://parlaythepeople.com/2026/senate/georgia/, accessed Oct 2, 2026. Prediction-market prices are crowd forecasts, not certainties, and nothing here is betting or investment advice.