2026 Governor
Alabama governor race odds
As of Oct 3, 2026, prediction markets give Republican Tommy Tuberville a 92% chance of winning the 2026 Alabama governor race over Democrat Doug Jones (Kalshi 92%, Polymarket 93%).
Updated · prices refresh every 10 minutes
- Market rating
- Safe R
- Kalshi (D / R)
- 8.3% / 91.7%
- Polymarket (D / R)
- 7.0% / 93.0%
- Gap between exchanges
- 1.3 pts
- Election Day
- Nov 3, 2026 (32 days)
Price history
Democratic odds are essentially unchanged over the past 3 months, at 8%.
Every candidate, by exchange
Each exchange's prices rescaled to add up to 100%. Kalshi prices are the bid–ask midpoint; Polymarket prices are its displayed price.
Kalshi open market ↗
| Outcome | Chance | Volume |
|---|---|---|
| Tommy Tuberville (R) | 91.7% | $33K |
| Doug Jones (D) | 8.3% | $87K |
Polymarket open market ↗
| Outcome | Chance | Volume |
|---|---|---|
| Tommy Tuberville (R) | 93.0% | $13K |
| Doug Jones (D) | 7.0% | $12K |
Questions about this race
Who is favored to win the 2026 Alabama governor race?
As of Oct 3, 2026, prediction markets give Republican Tommy Tuberville a 92% chance of winning the 2026 Alabama governor race over Democrat Doug Jones (Kalshi 92%, Polymarket 93%).
What do Kalshi and Polymarket say?
Kalshi: Democrats 8%, Republicans 92%. Polymarket: Democrats 7%, Republicans 93%. The two exchanges differ by 1.3 points.
How have the odds moved this week?
Democratic odds are essentially unchanged since Sep 26, 2026.
When is the 2026 election?
Election Day is Nov 3, 2026, 32 days from now.
Other Alabama races in 2026
- AL-01 HouseR 96%
- AL-02 HouseR 75%
- AL-03 HouseR 99%
- AL-04 HouseR 99%
- AL-05 HouseR 95%
- AL-06 HouseR 97%
- AL-07 HouseD 98%
- Alabama SenateR 98%
Closest governor races in 2026
Data
Price history (JSON)All 2026 races (JSON)All 2026 races (CSV)2026 dashboardMethodology
Cite as: Parlay the People, “2026 Alabama governor race,” https://parlaythepeople.com/2026/governor/alabama/, accessed Oct 3, 2026. Prediction-market prices are crowd forecasts, not certainties, and nothing here is betting or investment advice.