2026 Alabama · U.S. House
AL-07 House race odds
As of Oct 3, 2026, prediction markets give Democrat Terri Sewell a 99% chance of winning the 2026 race for AL-07 over Republican Ammie Akin (Kalshi 98%, Polymarket 99%).
Updated · prices refresh every 10 minutes
- Market rating
- Safe D
- Kalshi (D / R)
- 98.4% / 1.6%
- Polymarket (D / R)
- 99.2% / 0.8%
- Gap between exchanges
- 0.8 pts
- Election Day
- Nov 3, 2026 (32 days)
Share prices
Each contract pays $1 if that outcome happens. The price is what traders are paying now, so 60¢ means roughly a 60% chance. Bid is the best offer to buy, ask the best offer to sell.
| Contract | Price | Bid | Ask | Last | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Terri Sewell | 97¢ | 95¢ | 99¢ | 97¢ | ▼1¢ |
| Ammie Akin | 2¢ | 1¢ | 2¢ | 3¢ | 0¢ |
| Contract | Price | Bid | Ask | Last | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Terri Sewell | 98¢ | 98¢ | 99¢ | 98¢ | 0¢ |
| Ammie Akin | 1¢ | 0¢ | 1¢ | 0¢ | ▼1¢ |
Price history
Democratic odds rose 8.9 points over the past 3 months, from 90% to 99%.
Every candidate, by exchange
Each exchange's prices rescaled to add up to 100%. Kalshi prices are the bid–ask midpoint; Polymarket prices are its displayed price.
Kalshi open market ↗
| Outcome | Chance | Volume |
|---|---|---|
| Terri Sewell (D) | 98.4% | $6K |
| Ammie Akin (R) | 1.6% | $8K |
Polymarket open market ↗
| Outcome | Chance | Volume |
|---|---|---|
| Terri Sewell (D) | 99.2% | $33K |
| Ammie Akin (R) | 0.8% | $58K |
Questions about this race
Who is favored to win the 2026 AL-07 House race?
As of Oct 3, 2026, prediction markets give Democrat Terri Sewell a 99% chance of winning the 2026 race for AL-07 over Republican Ammie Akin (Kalshi 98%, Polymarket 99%).
What do Kalshi and Polymarket say?
Kalshi: Democrats 98%, Republicans 2%. Polymarket: Democrats 99%, Republicans 1%. The two exchanges differ by 0.8 points.
How have the odds moved this week?
Democratic odds have risen 1.0 points since Sep 26, 2026.
When is the 2026 election?
Election Day is Nov 3, 2026, 32 days from now.
Other Alabama races in 2026
- Alabama GovernorR 92%
- AL-01 HouseR 97%
- AL-02 HouseR 75%
- AL-03 HouseR 99%
- AL-04 HouseR 99%
- AL-05 HouseR 95%
- AL-06 HouseR 97%
- Alabama SenateR 98%
Closest House races in 2026
Data
Price history (JSON)All 2026 races (JSON)All 2026 races (CSV)2026 dashboardMethodology
Cite as: Parlay the People, “2026 AL-07 House race,” https://parlaythepeople.com/2026/house/al-7/, accessed Oct 3, 2026. Prediction-market prices are crowd forecasts, not certainties, and nothing here is betting or investment advice.