2026 Senate
Alabama Senate race odds
As of Oct 3, 2026, prediction markets give Republican Barry Moore a 98% chance of winning the 2026 Alabama Senate race over Democrat Everett Wess (Kalshi 98%, Polymarket 98%).
Updated · prices refresh every 10 minutes
- Market rating
- Safe R
- Kalshi (D / R)
- 2.3% / 97.7%
- Polymarket (D / R)
- 1.7% / 98.3%
- Gap between exchanges
- 0.6 pts
- Election Day
- Nov 3, 2026 (32 days)
Share prices
Each contract pays $1 if that outcome happens. The price is what traders are paying now, so 60¢ means roughly a 60% chance. Bid is the best offer to buy, ask the best offer to sell.
| Contract | Price | Bid | Ask | Last | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barry Moore | 97¢ | 96¢ | 98¢ | 98¢ | 0¢ |
| Everett Wess | 2¢ | 2¢ | 3¢ | 3¢ | 0¢ |
| Contract | Price | Bid | Ask | Last | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barry Moore | 98¢ | 96¢ | 99¢ | 98¢ | 0¢ |
| Everett Wess | 2¢ | 0¢ | 3¢ | 4¢ | — |
Price history
Democratic odds fell 3.5 points over the past 3 months, from 6% to 2%.
Every candidate, by exchange
Each exchange's prices rescaled to add up to 100%. Kalshi prices are the bid–ask midpoint; Polymarket prices are its displayed price.
Kalshi open market ↗
| Outcome | Chance | Volume |
|---|---|---|
| Barry Moore (R) | 97.7% | $2K |
| Everett Wess (D) | 2.3% | $9K |
Polymarket open market ↗
| Outcome | Chance | Volume |
|---|---|---|
| Barry Moore (R) | 98.3% | $7K |
| Everett Wess (D) | 1.7% | $6K |
Questions about this race
Who is favored to win the 2026 Alabama Senate race?
As of Oct 3, 2026, prediction markets give Republican Barry Moore a 98% chance of winning the 2026 Alabama Senate race over Democrat Everett Wess (Kalshi 98%, Polymarket 98%).
What do Kalshi and Polymarket say?
Kalshi: Democrats 2%, Republicans 98%. Polymarket: Democrats 2%, Republicans 98%. The two exchanges differ by 0.6 points.
How have the odds moved this week?
Democratic odds have fallen 1.0 points since Sep 26, 2026.
When is the 2026 election?
Election Day is Nov 3, 2026, 32 days from now.
Other Alabama races in 2026
- Alabama GovernorR 92%
- AL-01 HouseR 97%
- AL-02 HouseR 75%
- AL-03 HouseR 99%
- AL-04 HouseR 99%
- AL-05 HouseR 95%
- AL-06 HouseR 97%
- AL-07 HouseD 99%
Closest Senate races in 2026
Data
Price history (JSON)All 2026 races (JSON)All 2026 races (CSV)2026 dashboardMethodology
Cite as: Parlay the People, “2026 Alabama Senate race,” https://parlaythepeople.com/2026/senate/alabama/, accessed Oct 3, 2026. Prediction-market prices are crowd forecasts, not certainties, and nothing here is betting or investment advice.