2026 Governor
Minnesota governor race odds
As of Oct 3, 2026, prediction markets give Democrat Amy Klobuchar a 95% chance of winning the 2026 Minnesota governor race over Republican Lisa Demuth (Kalshi 95%, Polymarket 95%).
Updated · prices refresh every 10 minutes
- Market rating
- Safe D
- Kalshi (D / R)
- 95.0% / 5.0%
- Polymarket (D / R)
- 95.5% / 4.5%
- Gap between exchanges
- 0.4 pts
- Election Day
- Nov 3, 2026 (32 days)
Price history
Democratic odds are essentially unchanged over the past 3 months, at 95%.
Every candidate, by exchange
Each exchange's prices rescaled to add up to 100%. Kalshi prices are the bid–ask midpoint; Polymarket prices are its displayed price.
Kalshi open market ↗
| Outcome | Chance | Volume |
|---|---|---|
| Amy Klobuchar (D) | 95.0% | $196K |
| Lisa Demuth (R) | 5.0% | $251K |
Polymarket open market ↗
| Outcome | Chance | Volume |
|---|---|---|
| Amy Klobuchar (D) | 95.5% | $42K |
| Lisa Demuth (R) | 4.5% | $46K |
Questions about this race
Who is favored to win the 2026 Minnesota governor race?
As of Oct 3, 2026, prediction markets give Democrat Amy Klobuchar a 95% chance of winning the 2026 Minnesota governor race over Republican Lisa Demuth (Kalshi 95%, Polymarket 95%).
What do Kalshi and Polymarket say?
Kalshi: Democrats 95%, Republicans 5%. Polymarket: Democrats 95%, Republicans 5%. The two exchanges differ by 0.4 points.
How have the odds moved this week?
Democratic odds have risen 0.6 points since Sep 26, 2026.
When is the 2026 election?
Election Day is Nov 3, 2026, 32 days from now.
Other Minnesota races in 2026
- MN-01 HouseR 77%
- MN-02 HouseD 95%
- MN-03 HouseD 97%
- MN-04 HouseD 96%
- MN-05 HouseD 99%
- MN-06 HouseR 91%
- MN-07 HouseR 94%
- MN-08 HouseR 87%
- Minnesota SenateD 89%
Closest governor races in 2026
Data
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Cite as: Parlay the People, “2026 Minnesota governor race,” https://parlaythepeople.com/2026/governor/minnesota/, accessed Oct 3, 2026. Prediction-market prices are crowd forecasts, not certainties, and nothing here is betting or investment advice.