2026 Senate
Mississippi Senate race odds
As of Oct 3, 2026, prediction markets give Republican Cindy Hyde-Smith a 90% chance of winning the 2026 Mississippi Senate race over Democrat Scott Colom (Kalshi 90%, Polymarket 91%).
Updated · prices refresh every 10 minutes
- Market rating
- Safe R
- Kalshi (D / R)
- 10.4% / 89.6%
- Polymarket (D / R)
- 9.0% / 91.0%
- Gap between exchanges
- 1.3 pts
- Election Day
- Nov 3, 2026 (32 days)
Price history
Democratic odds fell 2.3 points over the past 3 months, from 12% to 10%.
Every candidate, by exchange
Each exchange's prices rescaled to add up to 100%. Kalshi prices are the bid–ask midpoint; Polymarket prices are its displayed price.
Kalshi open market ↗
| Outcome | Chance | Volume |
|---|---|---|
| Cindy Hyde-Smith (R) | 89.6% | $70K |
| Scott Colom (D) | 10.4% | $159K |
Polymarket open market ↗
| Outcome | Chance | Volume |
|---|---|---|
| Cindy Hyde-Smith (R) | 91.0% | $63K |
| Scott Colom (D) | 9.0% | $63K |
Questions about this race
Who is favored to win the 2026 Mississippi Senate race?
As of Oct 3, 2026, prediction markets give Republican Cindy Hyde-Smith a 90% chance of winning the 2026 Mississippi Senate race over Democrat Scott Colom (Kalshi 90%, Polymarket 91%).
What do Kalshi and Polymarket say?
Kalshi: Democrats 10%, Republicans 90%. Polymarket: Democrats 9%, Republicans 91%. The two exchanges differ by 1.3 points.
How have the odds moved this week?
Democratic odds are essentially unchanged since Sep 26, 2026.
When is the 2026 election?
Election Day is Nov 3, 2026, 32 days from now.
Other Mississippi races in 2026
- MS-01 HouseR 96%
- MS-02 HouseD 97%
- MS-03 HouseR 99%
- MS-04 HouseR 97%
Closest Senate races in 2026
Data
Price history (JSON)All 2026 races (JSON)All 2026 races (CSV)2026 dashboardMethodology
Cite as: Parlay the People, “2026 Mississippi Senate race,” https://parlaythepeople.com/2026/senate/mississippi/, accessed Oct 3, 2026. Prediction-market prices are crowd forecasts, not certainties, and nothing here is betting or investment advice.