2026 Governor
Oklahoma governor race odds
As of Oct 2, 2026, prediction markets give Republican Mike Mazzei a 92% chance of winning the 2026 Oklahoma governor race over Democrat Cyndi Munson (Kalshi 92%, Polymarket 93%).
Updated · prices refresh every 10 minutes
- Market rating
- Safe R
- Kalshi (D / R)
- 8.1% / 91.9%
- Polymarket (D / R)
- 7.5% / 92.5%
- Gap between exchanges
- 0.6 pts
- Election Day
- Nov 3, 2026 (32 days)
Price history
Democratic odds are essentially unchanged since Oct 2, 2026.
Every candidate, by exchange
Each exchange's prices rescaled to add up to 100%. Kalshi prices are the bid–ask midpoint; Polymarket prices are its displayed price.
Kalshi open market ↗
| Outcome | Chance | Volume |
|---|---|---|
| Mike Mazzei (R) | 91.9% | $32K |
| Cyndi Munson (D) | 8.1% | $111K |
Polymarket open market ↗
| Outcome | Chance | Volume |
|---|---|---|
| Mike Mazzei (R) | 92.5% | $15K |
| Cyndi Munson (D) | 7.5% | $17K |
Questions about this race
Who is favored to win the 2026 Oklahoma governor race?
As of Oct 2, 2026, prediction markets give Republican Mike Mazzei a 92% chance of winning the 2026 Oklahoma governor race over Democrat Cyndi Munson (Kalshi 92%, Polymarket 93%).
What do Kalshi and Polymarket say?
Kalshi: Democrats 8%, Republicans 92%. Polymarket: Democrats 8%, Republicans 93%. The two exchanges differ by 0.6 points.
How have the odds moved this week?
Democratic odds are essentially unchanged since Oct 2, 2026.
When is the 2026 election?
Election Day is Nov 3, 2026, 32 days from now.
Other Oklahoma races in 2026
- OK-01 HouseR 94%
- OK-02 HouseR 98%
- OK-03 HouseR 99%
- OK-04 HouseR 98%
- OK-05 HouseR 87%
- Oklahoma SenateR 98%
Closest governor races in 2026
Data
Price history (JSON)All 2026 races (JSON)All 2026 races (CSV)2026 dashboardMethodology
Cite as: Parlay the People, “2026 Oklahoma governor race,” https://parlaythepeople.com/2026/governor/oklahoma/, accessed Oct 2, 2026. Prediction-market prices are crowd forecasts, not certainties, and nothing here is betting or investment advice.