2026 Senate
Louisiana Senate race odds
As of Oct 2, 2026, prediction markets give Republican Julia Letlow a 93% chance of winning the 2026 Louisiana Senate race over Democrat Jamie Davis (Kalshi 93%, Polymarket 94%).
Updated · prices refresh every 10 minutes
- Market rating
- Safe R
- Kalshi (D / R)
- 6.7% / 93.3%
- Polymarket (D / R)
- 6.5% / 93.5%
- Gap between exchanges
- 0.2 pts
- Election Day
- Nov 3, 2026 (32 days)
Price history
Democratic odds are essentially unchanged since Oct 2, 2026.
Every candidate, by exchange
Each exchange's prices rescaled to add up to 100%. Kalshi prices are the bid–ask midpoint; Polymarket prices are its displayed price.
Kalshi open market ↗
| Outcome | Chance | Volume |
|---|---|---|
| Julia Letlow (R) | 93.3% | $19K |
| Jamie Davis (D) | 6.7% | $58K |
Polymarket open market ↗
| Outcome | Chance | Volume |
|---|---|---|
| Julia Letlow (R) | 93.5% | $21K |
| Jamie Davis (D) | 6.5% | $26K |
Questions about this race
Who is favored to win the 2026 Louisiana Senate race?
As of Oct 2, 2026, prediction markets give Republican Julia Letlow a 93% chance of winning the 2026 Louisiana Senate race over Democrat Jamie Davis (Kalshi 93%, Polymarket 94%).
What do Kalshi and Polymarket say?
Kalshi: Democrats 7%, Republicans 93%. Polymarket: Democrats 7%, Republicans 94%. The two exchanges differ by 0.2 points.
How have the odds moved this week?
Democratic odds are essentially unchanged since Oct 2, 2026.
When is the 2026 election?
Election Day is Nov 3, 2026, 32 days from now.
Other Louisiana races in 2026
- LA-01 HouseR 97%
- LA-02 HouseD 99%
- LA-03 HouseR 97%
- LA-04 HouseR 94%
- LA-05 HouseR 94%
- LA-06 HouseR 94%
Closest Senate races in 2026
Data
Price history (JSON)All 2026 races (JSON)All 2026 races (CSV)2026 dashboardMethodology
Cite as: Parlay the People, “2026 Louisiana Senate race,” https://parlaythepeople.com/2026/senate/louisiana/, accessed Oct 2, 2026. Prediction-market prices are crowd forecasts, not certainties, and nothing here is betting or investment advice.