Democrat · MD

Adrian Boafo

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Adrian Boafo (Democrat) a 97% chance of winning the 2026 MD-05 House race (Kalshi 98%, Polymarket 97%).

Odds in every market

MarketChanceKalshiPolymarket24h
2026 MD-05 House race97%98%97%—

Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.

Campaign money

Raised
$1.7M
Spent
$1.6M
Cash on hand
$92K
Outside groups for
$12.1M
Outside groups against
$0

Through June 30, 2026. $1.6M from individuals, $117K from PACs. FEC filings for Adrian Boafo →

Running against

Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.

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