Democrat · NY
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (Democrat) a 17% chance of winning the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination (Kalshi 14%, Polymarket 19%). Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez also appears in 2 other markets below.
Odds in every market
| Market | Chance | Kalshi | Polymarket | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2028 Democratic presidential nomination | 17% | 14% | 19% | — |
| 2028 presidential election | 14% | 11% | 17% | — |
| 2026 NY-14 House race | 97% | 97% | 97% | — |
Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.
Campaign money
- Raised
- $32.6M
- Spent
- $20.4M
- Cash on hand
- $16.0M
- Outside groups for
- $0
- Outside groups against
- $0
Through June 30, 2026. $32.0M from individuals, $28K from PACs. FEC filings for Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez →
Social buzz
98K interactions with posts about Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez in the last 24 hours from 89 people; 58% of posts read as positive, up 26% on last week.
- Last nite! #nyc #thestrokes Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez Bernie Sanders The Strokes Sunny Tsao · youtube-video
- Representative Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez on the Cornell University 7. #aoc #cornelluniversity #newyork #lgbtq #democrats thedailycontribution · tiktok-video
Social data from LunarCrush. Posts are what people are saying, not verified facts.
Running against
Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
