What are Armen Kurdian's chances of winning the 2026 CA-49 House race?

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Armen Kurdian a 3% chance (Kalshi 2%, Polymarket 4%).

How much money has Armen Kurdian raised?

Armen Kurdian's campaign has raised $59K and has $18K cash on hand, through June 30, 2026, according to the FEC.

Republican · CA

Armen Kurdian

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Armen Kurdian (Republican) a 3% chance of winning the 2026 CA-49 House race (Kalshi 2%, Polymarket 4%).

Odds in every market

Market	Chance	Kalshi	Polymarket	24h
2026 CA-49 House race	3%	2%	4%	—

Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.

Campaign money

Raised: $59K
Spent: $41K
Cash on hand: $18K
Outside groups for: $0
Outside groups against: $0

Through June 30, 2026. $42K from individuals, $1K from PACs, $14K of the candidate's own money. FEC filings for Armen Kurdian →

Running against

Mike Levin97%

Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.