Republican · FL
Ashley Moody
As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Ashley Moody (Republican) a 90% chance of winning the 2026 Florida Senate race (Kalshi 89%, Polymarket 92%).
Odds in every market
| Market | Chance | Kalshi | Polymarket | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Florida Senate race | 90% | 89% | 92% | ▲ 2¢ |
Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.
Campaign money
- Raised
- $11.3M
- Spent
- $2.8M
- Cash on hand
- $8.5M
- Outside groups for
- $367K
- Outside groups against
- $27K
Through July 29, 2026. $5.0M from individuals, $2.0M from PACs. FEC filings for Ashley Moody →
Polls
In the 2026 Florida Senate race, the Parlay polling average has Ashley Moody at 48% against Angie Nixon at 43%, from 5 polls (newest ended 2026-09-27).
Social buzz
483K interactions with posts about Ashley Moody in the last 24 hours from 257 people; 55% of posts read as positive, up 191% on last week.
- Moody issues BOLD warning on socialism: 'They will remember that' Fox News Clips · youtube-video
- 2026 GOP Senate recruits (+some incumbents) tier list ELECTABILITY ONLY: S Tier: Susan Collins A Tier: John Sununu B Tier: Ashley Hinson, Ashley Moody C Tier: Mike Rogers, Jon Husted D Tier: Michael Whatley, Roger Marsha David · tweet
- Florida, the voter registration deadline is TOMORROW, Monday, October 5. A new poll has Sen. Ashley Moody TIED 47-47 with Democrat Angie Nixon. In FLORIDA. Register. Check your registration. Request your mail ballot by Mila Joy · tweet
Social data from LunarCrush. Posts are what people are saying, not verified facts.
Running against
- Angie Nixon10%
Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
