What are Austin Rogers's chances of winning the 2026 FL-02 House race?

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Austin Rogers a 92% chance (Kalshi 92%, Polymarket 91%).

How much money has Austin Rogers raised?

Austin Rogers's campaign has raised $1.0M and has $387K cash on hand, through July 29, 2026, according to the FEC.

Republican · FL

Austin Rogers

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Austin Rogers (Republican) a 92% chance of winning the 2026 FL-02 House race (Kalshi 92%, Polymarket 91%).

Odds in every market

Market	Chance	Kalshi	Polymarket	24h
2026 FL-02 House race	92%	92%	91%	▲ 1¢

Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.

Campaign money

Raised: $1.0M
Spent: $623K
Cash on hand: $387K
Outside groups for: $858K
Outside groups against: $91K

Through July 29, 2026. $628K from individuals, $7K from PACs, $375K of the candidate's own money. FEC filings for Austin Rogers →

Running against

Amanda Green8%

Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.