What are Bennie Thompson's chances of winning the 2026 MS-02 House race?

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Bennie Thompson a 97% chance (Kalshi 97%, Polymarket 97%).

How much money has Bennie Thompson raised?

Bennie Thompson's campaign has raised $771K and has $1.4M cash on hand, through June 30, 2026, according to the FEC.

Democrat · MS

Bennie Thompson

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Bennie Thompson (Democrat) a 97% chance of winning the 2026 MS-02 House race (Kalshi 97%, Polymarket 97%).

Odds in every market

Market	Chance	Kalshi	Polymarket	24h
2026 MS-02 House race	97%	97%	97%	—

Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.

Campaign money

Raised: $771K
Spent: $948K
Cash on hand: $1.4M
Outside groups for: $0
Outside groups against: $0

Through June 30, 2026. $203K from individuals, $562K from PACs. FEC filings for Bennie G. Thompson →

Running against

Ron Eller3%

Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.