What are Betty McCollum's chances of winning the 2026 MN-04 House race?

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Betty McCollum a 96% chance (Kalshi 97%, Polymarket 96%).

How much money has Betty McCollum raised?

Betty McCollum's campaign has raised $1.3M and has $499K cash on hand, through July 22, 2026, according to the FEC.

Democrat · MN

Betty McCollum

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Betty McCollum (Democrat) a 96% chance of winning the 2026 MN-04 House race (Kalshi 97%, Polymarket 96%).

Odds in every market

Market	Chance	Kalshi	Polymarket	24h
2026 MN-04 House race	96%	97%	96%	—

Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.

Campaign money

Raised: $1.3M
Spent: $1.3M
Cash on hand: $499K
Outside groups for: $0
Outside groups against: $0

Through July 22, 2026. $790K from individuals, $458K from PACs. FEC filings for Betty McCollum →

Running against

Paul Wikstrom4%

Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.