Democrat · NY
Brad Lander
As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Brad Lander (Democrat) a 99% chance of winning the 2026 NY-10 House race (Kalshi 98%, Polymarket 100%).
Odds in every market
| Market | Chance | Kalshi | Polymarket | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 NY-10 House race | 99% | 98% | 100% | — |
Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.
Campaign money
- Raised
- $2.5M
- Spent
- $2.4M
- Cash on hand
- $55K
- Outside groups for
- $139K
- Outside groups against
- $219K
Through June 30, 2026. $2.4M from individuals, $49K from PACs. FEC filings for Brad Lander →
Running against
Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
