What are Brendan Boyle's chances of winning the 2026 PA-02 House race?

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Brendan Boyle a 98% chance (Kalshi 98%, Polymarket 98%).

How much money has Brendan Boyle raised?

Brendan Boyle's campaign has raised $2.5M and has $5.6M cash on hand, through June 30, 2026, according to the FEC.

Democrat · PA

Brendan Boyle

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Brendan Boyle (Democrat) a 98% chance of winning the 2026 PA-02 House race (Kalshi 98%, Polymarket 98%).

Odds in every market

Market	Chance	Kalshi	Polymarket	24h
2026 PA-02 House race	98%	98%	98%	—

Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.

Campaign money

Raised: $2.5M
Spent: $730K
Cash on hand: $5.6M
Outside groups for: $0
Outside groups against: $0

Through June 30, 2026. $495K from individuals, $971K from PACs. FEC filings for Brendan F Boyle →

Running against

Jessica Arriaga2%

Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.