What are Brent Taylor's chances of winning the 2026 TN-09 House race?

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Brent Taylor a 86% chance (Kalshi 85%, Polymarket 86%).

How much money has Brent Taylor raised?

Brent Taylor's campaign has raised $1.5M and has $417K cash on hand, through July 17, 2026, according to the FEC.

Republican · TN

Brent Taylor

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Brent Taylor (Republican) a 86% chance of winning the 2026 TN-09 House race (Kalshi 85%, Polymarket 86%).

Odds in every market

Market	Chance	Kalshi	Polymarket	24h
2026 TN-09 House race	86%	85%	86%	—

Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.

Campaign money

Raised: $1.5M
Spent: $1.1M
Cash on hand: $417K
Outside groups for: $476K
Outside groups against: $0

Through July 17, 2026. $466K from individuals, $82K from PACs, $1.0M of the candidate's own money. FEC filings for Brent Taylor →

Polls

In the 2026 TN-09 House race, the Parlay polling average has Brent Taylor at 48% against Justin J. Pearson at 44%, from 1 polls (newest ended 2026-09-03).

Running against

Justin J. Pearson14%

Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.