What are Brett Guthrie's chances of winning the 2026 KY-02 House race?

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Brett Guthrie a 96% chance (Kalshi 96%, Polymarket 96%).

How much money has Brett Guthrie raised?

Brett Guthrie's campaign has raised $4.7M and has $1.7M cash on hand, through June 30, 2026, according to the FEC.

Republican · KY

Brett Guthrie

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Brett Guthrie (Republican) a 96% chance of winning the 2026 KY-02 House race (Kalshi 96%, Polymarket 96%).

Odds in every market

Market	Chance	Kalshi	Polymarket	24h
2026 KY-02 House race	96%	96%	96%	—

Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.

Campaign money

Raised: $4.7M
Spent: $3.4M
Cash on hand: $1.7M
Outside groups for: $80K
Outside groups against: $0

Through June 30, 2026. $1.7M from individuals, $3.0M from PACs. FEC filings for S. Brett Brett Guthrie →

Running against

Megan Wingfield4%

Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.