What are Brian Burley's chances of winning the 2026 CA-42 House race?

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Brian Burley a 3% chance (Kalshi 3%, Polymarket 3%).

How much money has Brian Burley raised?

Brian Burley's campaign has raised $231K and has $6K cash on hand, through June 30, 2026, according to the FEC.

Republican · CA

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Brian Burley (Republican) a 3% chance of winning the 2026 CA-42 House race (Kalshi 3%, Polymarket 3%).

Market	Chance	Kalshi	Polymarket	24h
2026 CA-42 House race	3%	3%	3%	—

Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.

Through June 30, 2026. $45K from individuals, $0 from PACs, $186K of the candidate's own money. FEC filings for Brian J Burley →

Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.