What are Brinker Harding's chances of winning the 2026 NE-02 House race?

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Brinker Harding a 8% chance (Kalshi 7%, Polymarket 8%).

How much money has Brinker Harding raised?

Brinker Harding's campaign has raised $2.0M and has $1.1M cash on hand, through June 30, 2026, according to the FEC.

Republican · NE

Brinker Harding

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Brinker Harding (Republican) a 8% chance of winning the 2026 NE-02 House race (Kalshi 7%, Polymarket 8%).

Odds in every market

Market	Chance	Kalshi	Polymarket	24h
2026 NE-02 House race	8%	7%	8%	▼ 2¢

Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.

Campaign money

Raised: $2.0M
Spent: $964K
Cash on hand: $1.1M
Outside groups for: $44K
Outside groups against: $1.4M

Through June 30, 2026. $1.4M from individuals, $256K from PACs, $4K of the candidate's own money. FEC filings for Brinker Harding →

Polls

In the 2026 NE-02 House race, the Parlay polling average has Brinker Harding at 42% against Denise Powell at 46%, from 1 polls (newest ended 2026-09-13).

Running against

Denise Powell92%

Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.