Democrat · TX
Caitlin Rourk
As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Caitlin Rourk (Democrat) a 7% chance of winning the 2026 TX-10 House race (Kalshi 6%, Polymarket 8%).
Odds in every market
| Market | Chance | Kalshi | Polymarket | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 TX-10 House race | 7% | 6% | 8% | — |
Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.
Campaign money
- Raised
- $364K
- Spent
- $272K
- Cash on hand
- $92K
- Outside groups for
- $0
- Outside groups against
- $0
Through June 30, 2026. $328K from individuals, $8K from PACs, $28K of the candidate's own money. FEC filings for Caitlin McClay Rourk →
Polls
In the 2026 TX-10 House race, the Parlay polling average has Caitlin Rourk at 41% against Chris Gober at 48%, from 1 polls (newest ended 2026-09-22).
Running against
- Chris Gober93%
Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.