What are Casey Shepard's chances of winning the 2026 TX-17 House race?

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Casey Shepard a 6% chance (Kalshi 7%, Polymarket 5%).

How much money has Casey Shepard raised?

Casey Shepard's campaign has raised $9K and has $3K cash on hand, through June 30, 2026, according to the FEC.

Democrat · TX

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Casey Shepard (Democrat) a 6% chance of winning the 2026 TX-17 House race (Kalshi 7%, Polymarket 5%).

Market	Chance	Kalshi	Polymarket	24h
2026 TX-17 House race	6%	7%	5%	▼ 1¢

Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.

Through June 30, 2026. $3K from individuals, $0 from PACs, $5K of the candidate's own money. FEC filings for Casey Shepard →

Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.