What are Celeste Maloy's chances of winning the 2026 UT-03 House race?

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Celeste Maloy a 96% chance (Kalshi 97%, Polymarket 95%).

How much money has Celeste Maloy raised?

Celeste Maloy's campaign has raised $1.5M and has $322K cash on hand, through June 30, 2026, according to the FEC.

Republican · UT

Celeste Maloy

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Celeste Maloy (Republican) a 96% chance of winning the 2026 UT-03 House race (Kalshi 97%, Polymarket 95%).

Odds in every market

Market	Chance	Kalshi	Polymarket	24h
2026 UT-03 House race	96%	97%	95%	—

Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.

Campaign money

Raised: $1.5M
Spent: $1.2M
Cash on hand: $322K
Outside groups for: $1.3M
Outside groups against: $300K

Through June 30, 2026. $709K from individuals, $673K from PACs. FEC filings for Celeste Maloy →

Polls

In the 2026 UT-03 House race, the Parlay polling average has Celeste Maloy at 45% against Kent Udell at 26%, from 1 polls (newest ended 2026-09-15).

Running against

Kent Udell4%

Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.