What are Cheryl Riley's chances of winning the 2026 MD-08 House race?

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Cheryl Riley a 2% chance (Kalshi 2%, Polymarket 2%).

How much money has Cheryl Riley raised?

Cheryl Riley's campaign has raised $17K and has $2K cash on hand, through June 30, 2026, according to the FEC.

Republican · MD

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Cheryl Riley (Republican) a 2% chance of winning the 2026 MD-08 House race (Kalshi 2%, Polymarket 2%).

Market	Chance	Kalshi	Polymarket	24h
2026 MD-08 House race	2%	2%	2%	—

Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.

Through June 30, 2026. $17K from individuals, $0 from PACs. FEC filings for Cheryl Riley →

Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.