Republican · NJ
Chris Smith
As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Chris Smith (Republican) a 96% chance of winning the 2026 NJ-04 House race (Kalshi 96%, Polymarket 96%).
Odds in every market
| Market | Chance | Kalshi | Polymarket | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 NJ-04 House race | 96% | 96% | 96% | ▲ 5¢ |
Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.
Campaign money
- Raised
- $592K
- Spent
- $468K
- Cash on hand
- $488K
- Outside groups for
- $0
- Outside groups against
- $0
Through June 30, 2026. $356K from individuals, $214K from PACs. FEC filings for Christopher H Smith →
Social buzz
9K interactions with posts about Chris Smith in the last 24 hours from 7 people; 63% of posts read as positive.
- Cindy Hyde-Smith Won’t Answer Nolan Wells Question. Runs Away, Calls Security Roland S. Martin · youtube-video
Social data from LunarCrush. Posts are what people are saying, not verified facts.
Recent headlines
- Scary That Democrats Still Support Jack Smith Operation RealClearPolitics · Oct 4
Running against
Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
