What are Chuck Fleischmann's chances of winning the 2026 TN-03 House race?

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Chuck Fleischmann a 96% chance (Kalshi 96%, Polymarket 96%).

How much money has Chuck Fleischmann raised?

Chuck Fleischmann's campaign has raised $2.3M and has $4.8M cash on hand, through July 17, 2026, according to the FEC.

Republican · TN

Chuck Fleischmann

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Chuck Fleischmann (Republican) a 96% chance of winning the 2026 TN-03 House race (Kalshi 96%, Polymarket 96%).

Odds in every market

Market	Chance	Kalshi	Polymarket	24h
2026 TN-03 House race	96%	96%	96%	—

Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.

Campaign money

Raised: $2.3M
Spent: $752K
Cash on hand: $4.8M
Outside groups for: $0
Outside groups against: $0

Through July 17, 2026. $1.5M from individuals, $10K from PACs. FEC filings for Charles J Fleischmann →

Running against

Anna Golladay4%

Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.