What are Claudia Tenney's chances of winning the 2026 NY-24 House race?

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Claudia Tenney a 95% chance (Kalshi 95%, Polymarket 96%).

How much money has Claudia Tenney raised?

Claudia Tenney's campaign has raised $2.8M and has $1.4M cash on hand, through June 30, 2026, according to the FEC.

Republican · NY

Claudia Tenney

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Claudia Tenney (Republican) a 95% chance of winning the 2026 NY-24 House race (Kalshi 95%, Polymarket 96%).

Odds in every market

Market	Chance	Kalshi	Polymarket	24h
2026 NY-24 House race	95%	95%	96%	—

Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.

Campaign money

Raised: $2.8M
Spent: $1.7M
Cash on hand: $1.4M
Outside groups for: $0
Outside groups against: $0

Through June 30, 2026. $1.1M from individuals, $1.2M from PACs. FEC filings for Claudia Tenney →

Running against

Alissa Ellman5%

Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.